{"id":7062,"date":"2018-09-03T12:36:33","date_gmt":"2018-09-03T12:36:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=7062"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:36:51","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:36:51","slug":"jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-27-august-2-septembrie-bitcoin-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-27-august-2-septembrie-bitcoin-romania\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 27 August \u2013 2 Septembrie"},"content":{"rendered":"

* Bitcoin<\/strong> *<\/p>\n

Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (27 august – 2 septembrie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 8.84% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6707.0 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $7300.0, av\u00e2nd maximul la $7429.2 \u0219i minimul la $6652.7.<\/p>\n

\"btc\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Am asistat la a treia s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 consecutiv\u0103 \u00een care BTC a avut parte de o \u00eenchidere \u00een sens pozitiv, cump\u0103r\u0103torii marc\u00e2nd o cre\u0219tere mult mai considerabil\u0103 dec\u00e2t cele afi\u0219ate pe parcursul lunii trecute. Cu o u\u0219oar\u0103 trecere peste $7400, BTC a testat nivele importante care opun rezisten\u021b\u0103 \u00een ascensiunea acestuia. Analiza elementelor care au constituit aceast\u0103 cre\u0219tere le g\u0103si\u021bi \u00een cele ce urmeaz\u0103:<\/p>\n

* pentru Bitcoin, deschiderea sesiunii de luni a \u00eensemnat continuarea seriei de noi minime (higher lows) \u00een triunghiul ascendent pe care a \u00eenceput s\u0103-l formeze \u00eenc\u0103 din weekend; un prim minim a fost stabilit la $6650 pe parcursul acestui \u00eenceput de s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103, unul la $6715 iar ultimul la $6915, timp \u00een care pre\u021bul a countinuat s\u0103 \u00eent\u00e2mpine rezisten\u021b\u0103 la $6762, nivel pe care BTC a reu\u0219it cu succes s\u0103-l dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 \u00eentr-un final; de\u0219i consolidarea din acest pattern (flat top ascending triangle – \u00een denumirea original\u0103) a durat aproximativ 23 de ore, iat\u0103 c\u0103 spre finalul sesiunii, pre\u021bul crypto-monedei a avut parte de un salt considerabil: $187 \u00eentr-o or\u0103; aceast\u0103 cre\u0219tere de 2.78% a reprezentat singura mi\u0219care important\u0103 \u00een prima zi a s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, fiind, totodat\u0103, \u0219i „piciorul de sus\u021binere” al unui fanion format imediat dup\u0103<\/p>\n

* imediat dup\u0103 impulsul \u00een sens pozitiv, BTC a stabilit punctul de plecare al unui alt triunghi ascendent, acesta fiind la o scar\u0103 mult mai mic\u0103; consolidarea din interiorul triunghiului a durat 11 ore \u0219i a \u00eent\u00e2mpinat rezisten\u021b\u0103 la $6942; (!) lu\u00e2nd \u00een considerare at\u00e2t impulsul care a precedat, c\u00e2t \u0219i cel care a succedat acest pattern, putem spune c\u0103 participan\u021bii la pia\u021b\u0103 au format un „bull flag” – forma\u021biune cunoscut\u0103 pentru semnalul de cump\u0103rare pe care \u00eel ofer\u0103; mar\u021bi, \u00een jurul orei 14, c\u00e2nd patternul s-a finalizat, cump\u0103r\u0103torii au for\u021bat \u00eenc\u0103 un impuls, foarte asem\u0103n\u0103tor cu primul din punct de vedere al procentajului (2.75%), \u00eens\u0103 diferit c\u00e2nd vine vorba de forma lum\u00e2n\u0103rii: dac\u0103 \u00een primul impuls umbra superioar\u0103 a reprezentat doar 10% din totalul lum\u00e2n\u0103rii, iat\u0103 c\u0103 \u00een cel de-al doilea aceasta „a m\u00e2ncat” nu mai pu\u021bin de 50% din corpul lum\u00e2n\u0103rii; dep\u0103\u0219irea rezisten\u021bei de la $7025 a dus la transformarea acestui nivel \u00eentr-unul de suport, la testarea din sens superior; a doua jum\u0103tate a sesiunii de mar\u021bi a con\u021binut „o \u00eencercare” a v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor de a \u00eempinge pre\u021bul sub, ace\u0219tia reu\u0219ind s\u0103 lase doar dou\u0103 umbre sub aceast\u0103 linie, f\u0103r\u0103 a ob\u021bine \u00eenchiderea dorit\u0103; $7126 este un alt nivel de interes, dup\u0103 cum vom observa \u00een ziua imediat urm\u0103toare:<\/p>\n

* stabilind un punct de maxim la acest nivel \u00een ziua precendent\u0103, miercuri BTC trece cu aproape $20 peste acesta, \u00een locul indicat pe grafic printr-o s\u0103geat\u0103 ro\u0219ie, mi\u0219care menit\u0103 s\u0103 ating\u0103 stop loss-urile traderilor de retail (mai precis a pozi\u021biilor de short care s-au bazat pe faptul c\u0103 punctul de maxim al zilei precedente nu va fi dep\u0103\u0219it); totodat\u0103, \u00een primele ore de la deschiderea sesiunii de miercuri, BTC testeaz\u0103 nivelul major de rezisten\u021b\u0103, devenit acum suport local: \u00een acest punct lum\u00e2n\u0103rile \u00eencep formarea unui canal ascendent, \u00eencadrat pe grafic cu ro\u0219u, pattern al c\u0103rui rezultat a fost de partea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor; sc\u0103derea acesta a fost la fel de impulsiv\u0103 precum cre\u0219terea de mar\u021bi, dep\u0103\u0219ind nivelul de rezisten\u021b\u0103\/suport de la $7025; de\u0219i ini\u021bial BTC n-a petrecut mult timp sub $7000, cre\u0219terea p\u00e2n\u0103 peste $7060 a reprezentat doar o devia\u021bie a pre\u021bului \u00eenainte ca mi\u0219carea principal\u0103 a zilei de joi s\u0103 aibe loc: deschiderea sesiunii, marcat\u0103 printr-o linie verical\u0103 sub\u021bire, a dus la o sc\u0103dere treptat\u0103 \u0219i sigur\u0103 a pre\u021bului, de peste 3%; BTC-ului i-au trebuit aproximativ 12 ore s\u0103 realizeze un declin de $225 – lucru ca nu a indicat o situa\u021bie defavorabil\u0103 cump\u0103r\u0103torilor, datorit\u0103 cantit\u0103\u021bii de monede care a fost „absorbit\u0103” \u00een timpul sc\u0103derii;
\nJoi la ora 15 BTC a format un orderblock pe care nu s-a mai \u00eentors s\u0103-l testeze; tind s\u0103 cred c\u0103 zona $6840 – $6875 va avea o oarecare importan\u021b\u0103 \u00een cazul unei corec\u021bii<\/p>\n

* \u00een prima jum\u0103tate a sesiunii de vineri BTC a avut o reac\u021bie relativ „choppy” a pre\u021bului, cu o cre\u0219terep\u00e2n\u0103 aproape de $7025, f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103 ating\u0103 conclusiv nivelul, dup\u0103 care sufer\u0103 o corec\u021bie pentru a retesta nivelul intermediar de la $6900, devenit acum suport; merit\u0103 observat faptul c\u0103 de\u0219i pre\u021bul se apropie destul de mult de „OB”, acesta nu \u00eel atinge; dup\u0103 o scurt\u0103 consolidare deasupra canalului, cump\u0103r\u0103torii se arat\u0103 interesa\u021bi de pre\u021bul „aflat la reducere”, test\u00e2nd din nou rezisten\u021ba; dep\u0103\u0219irea cu succes a acesteia a condus la o consolidare deasupra p\u00e2n\u0103 la finalul sesiunii, mi\u0219care cu volatilitate redus\u0103 care a fost continuat\u0103 \u0219i \u00een ziua imediat urm\u0103toare:<\/p>\n

* s\u00e2mb\u0103t\u0103, pre\u021bul a \u00eenceput prin a finaliza consolidarea \u00eencadrat\u0103 \u00een dreptunghiul albastru, urm\u00e2nd ca la ora 17 acesta s\u0103 afi\u0219eze o \u00eenchidere peste nivelul ro\u0219u, de la $7126, lucru care a condus la o continuare a mi\u0219c\u0103rii „bullish” p\u00e2n\u0103 la ora 22, urm\u00e2nd ca spre finalul sesiunii v\u00e2nz\u0103torii s\u0103-\u0219i impun\u0103 prezen\u021ba \u00een pia\u021b\u0103; dep\u0103\u0219irea nivelului de rezisten\u021b\u0103 nu a con\u021binut \u0219i o retestare a acestuia din sens superior, ceea ce indic\u0103 o dorin\u021b\u0103 permanent\u0103 a cump\u0103r\u0103torilor de a nu ceda teren<\/p>\n

* duminic\u0103 s-a adeverit \u0219i predic\u021bia de la finalul comentariului cu care ne-am desp\u0103r\u021bit vineri: ascensiunea monedei a fost fost continuat\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la $7320, nivel major de rezisten\u021b\u0103 pe care BTC n-a reu\u0219it s\u0103-l dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 dec\u00e2t printr-o umbr\u0103 de lungi dimensiuni stabilit\u0103 ieri, \u00een jurul orei 12; de\u0219i pre\u021bul a avut \u0219i o \u00eenchidere peste rezisten\u021b\u0103, la aceea\u0219i or\u0103, aceasta a fost continuat\u0103 de o respingere de $140 \u00een favoarea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor.<\/p>\n

* Ethereum *<\/strong><\/p>\n

Evolu\u021bia Ethereum pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (27 august – 2 septembrie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 7.62% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $274.33 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $295.23, av\u00e2nd maximul la $302.7 \u0219i minimul la $271.39.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"eth\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Am ata\u0219at mai sus un grafic care con\u021bine o analiz\u0103 succint\u0103 a s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, pe un timeframe de o or\u0103, \u00eens\u0103 vreau ca \u00een aceast\u0103 edi\u021bie a Jurnalului Crypto s\u0103 ne focus\u0103m aten\u021bia pe graficul de Daily al ETH-ului, deoarece suntem \u00eentr-o zon\u0103 foarte important\u0103, care ar putea indica direc\u021bia \u00een care pre\u021bul va evolua \u00een urm\u0103toarele 2-3 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni. N-am s\u0103 comentez \u00eentreaga evolu\u021bie prezentat\u0103 \u00een grafic, ci doar punctele cheie \u0219i la ce ne putem a\u0219tepta:<\/p>\n

\"eth2\"<\/a><\/p>\n

* \u021bin s\u0103 precizez c\u0103 aceast\u0103 cre\u0219tere p\u00e2n\u0103 la $820, din 5-6 mai, a reprezentat al doilea „bull run” al ETH-ului pe parcursul acestui an, primul fiind \u00een ianuarie; respingerea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor de la acest nivel superior, a condus la formarea unui dreptunghi de consolidare (distribu\u021bie) deasupra „orderblock-ului” stabilit \u00een 27 aprilie; dac\u0103 acesta a oferit suport la primele test\u0103ri, vom observa \u00een viitor, \u00een cazul \u00een care ETH va mai avea o cre\u0219tere spectaculoas\u0103, c\u0103 acest „OB” va opune rezisten\u021b\u0103<\/p>\n

* dep\u0103\u0219irea zonei albastru-deschis a condus la o sc\u0103dere de aproximativ o lun\u0103, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 23 iunie, c\u00e2nd ETH a \u00eenceput formarea unui „bear flag” uria\u0219, \u00eentins pe durata a 38 de zile; acesta este denumit \u0219i \u00eencadrat \u00eentre linii ro\u0219ii pe grafic; range-ul a fost \u00eentre $405 \u0219i $515 – adic\u0103 timp de mai bine de o lun\u0103 participan\u021bii la pia\u021b\u0103 n-au avut parte dec\u00e2t de o volatilitate de ~20% \u00een cele mai fericite cazuri<\/p>\n

* \u00eenchiderea pre\u021bului sub $432, nivel important de pe un timeframe mult mai mare: monthly, a cauzat o continuare a declinului p\u00e2n\u0103 la urm\u0103torul nivel de la $275, un alt nivel la fel de important, acesta reprezent\u00e2nd rezisten\u021ba cre\u0219terii din vara anului 2017; faptul c\u0103 ETH transform\u0103 o fost\u0103 rezisten\u021b\u0103 masiv\u0103 \u00eentr-un suport indic\u0103 un lucru bun pentru cump\u0103r\u0103tori, \u00eens\u0103 trebuie s\u0103 avem grij\u0103 la pattern-ul care se formeaz\u0103 deasupra acestui nivel: triunghiul simetric – deoarece acesta indic\u0103, teoretic, o posibil\u0103 continuare a pre\u021bului \u00een direc\u021bia predominant\u0103 \u00eenainte de formarea acestuia – \u00een cazul nostru, \u00een jos; totodat\u0103, este foarte probabil ca suportul s\u0103 continue s\u0103 st\u00e2rneasc\u0103 interesul cump\u0103r\u0103torilor \u0219i s\u0103 asist\u0103m la cel pu\u021bin un „dead cat bounce” (revin asupra acestui termen imediat), dac\u0103 nu un alt „bull run”.
\nNot\u0103: „dead cat bounce” este denumirea oferit\u0103 de traderi cre\u0219terii nesus\u021binute care are loc dup\u0103 un declin de propor\u021bii (cum e \u00een cazul nostru – ETH se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-o corec\u021bie de 80% fa\u021b\u0103 de ATH )<\/p>\n

* momentan, cele mai importante nivele pentru ETH sunt $260 \u0219i $320; am s\u0103 le iau pe cazuri:
\n1) \u00een cazul \u00een care ETH \u00eenchide sub $260 asist\u0103m la un breakdown – pre\u021bul va continua, cel mai probabil, declinul, p\u00e2n\u0103 sub $200, test\u00e2nd foste nivele de suport ale anului trecut;
\n2) \u00een cazul \u00een care ETH \u00eenchide peste $320 asist\u0103m la un breakout – dac\u0103 fostul nivel de rezisten\u021b\u0103 de la $275 continu\u0103 s\u0103 ofere suport, varianta aceasta este mult mai probabil\u0103, \u0219i vom vedea o testare a „OB”-ului sub\u021bire de la $380, poate chiar a nivelului de pe monthly, de la $432<\/p>\n

\u00cen concluzie:
\n\u00cenchiderea sub sau peste unul din nivelele men\u021bionate este foarte important\u0103. Personal, tind s\u0103 cred \u00een cazul 2), cel care este \u00een favoarea cump\u0103r\u0103torilor, \u0219i s\u0103 consider zona \u00een care ETH se afl\u0103 momentan ca fiind o oportunitate foarte bun\u0103 de „a prinde” Ethereum ieftin.<\/p>\n

As always,
\nSpor& trade safe.
\n– Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

* Bitcoin * Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (27 august – 2 septembrie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 8.84% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6707.0 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $7300.0, av\u00e2nd maximul la $7429.2 \u0219i minimul la $6652.7. Am asistat la a treia s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 consecutiv\u0103 \u00een care BTC a avut parte de o \u00eenchidere \u00een sens pozitiv, cump\u0103r\u0103torii marc\u00e2nd o cre\u0219tere mult mai considerabil\u0103 dec\u00e2t cele afi\u0219ate pe parcursul lunii trecute. Cu o u\u0219oar\u0103 trecere peste $7400,Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628],"tags":[683,597,116,613,635],"class_list":["post-7062","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-pretul-bitcoin","tag-pretul-ethereum"],"yoast_head":"\nJurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 27 August \u2013 2 Septembrie \u2013 Bitcoin Romania<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto - Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 27 August \u2013 2 Septembrie - Bitcoin Romania - oferita de primul si cel mai mare exchange crypto din Romania\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-27-august-2-septembrie-bitcoin-romania\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 27 August \u2013 2 Septembrie \u2013 Bitcoin Romania\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto - 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