{"id":7020,"date":"2018-08-27T11:36:55","date_gmt":"2018-08-27T11:36:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=7020"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:36:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:36:52","slug":"jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-20-26-august-bitcoin-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-20-26-august-bitcoin-romania\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 20 \u2013 26 August"},"content":{"rendered":"
* Bitcoin *\u00a0<\/strong><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
\u00a0Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (20 – 26 august) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 3.42% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6485.1 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $6707.0, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6899.0 \u0219i minimul la $6230.0.<\/div>\n
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\"btc\"<\/a><\/div>\n
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\n
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O s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 destul de asem\u0103n\u0103toare cu cea precedent\u0103, at\u00e2t din punct de vedere al evolu\u021biei propriu zise al PA-ului (price action), c\u00e2t \u0219i din punct de vedere al lum\u00e2n\u0103rii rezultate pe un timeframe superior: Weekly. De\u0219i folosim acelea\u0219i linii de rezisten\u021b\u0103 \u0219i suport de mai bine de 10 zile, iat\u0103 c\u0103 eficien\u021ba acestora continu\u0103 s\u0103 se dovedeasc\u0103. Avem analiza tehnic\u0103 \u0219i cea fundamental\u0103 dup\u0103 cum urmeaz\u0103:<\/div>\n
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* deschiderea sesiunii asiatice de luni a \u00eenceput printr-o scurt\u0103 testare a zonei de confluen\u021b\u0103 ($6509 – $6532), interval \u00een care BTC a \u00eent\u00e2mpinat rezisten\u021b\u0103; timpul petrecut de pre\u021b \u00een jurul acestuia a fost foarte scurt: doar o or\u0103, drept urmare, acesta a suferit un declin \u00een prima jum\u0103tate a zilei, p\u00e2n\u0103 $6386, un nivel oarecum intermediar de suport, pe care am ales s\u0103-l indic pe grafic dar f\u0103r\u0103 s\u0103-l denumesc, datorit\u0103 importan\u021bei sc\u0103zute a acestuia; de aici, pre\u021bul a afi\u0219at \u00eenc\u0103 o retestare a zonei sus-amintite, unde a fost respins la fel de sever ca prima dat\u0103; de la aceast\u0103 tentativ\u0103 a cump\u0103r\u0103torilor, continuat\u0103 de o respingere, \u0219i p\u00e2n\u0103 la finalul sesiunii de luni, pre\u021bul a suferit un declin de $280, respectiv 4.3%, \u00een 7 ore<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
* dac\u0103 prima zi a s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii a fost \u00een favoarea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor, iat\u0103 c\u0103 cea imediat urm\u0103toare – mar\u021bi – nu s-a mai aflat \u00een aceea\u0219i situa\u021bie: deschiderea acestei sesiuni a \u00eent\u00e2mpinat rezisten\u021b\u0103 la $6315 pe parcursul primelor 5 ore – $6315 fiind fostul nivel de suport al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, transformat \u00een rezisten\u021b\u0103 pentru o perioad\u0103 scurt\u0103 de timp -; dac\u0103 la primele \u00eencerc\u0103ri lum\u00e2n\u0103rile n-au l\u0103sat dec\u00e2t umbre (wicks – \u00een englez\u0103) peste acest nivel, a 6-a \u00eencercare a fost cu succes, av\u00e2nd parte de o \u00eenchidere peste, mi\u0219care continuat\u0103 de o cre\u0219tere de anvergur\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een aceea\u0219i zon\u0103 de confluen\u021b\u0103 a zilei precedente; a\u0219a cum ne-am obi\u0219nuit, prima \u00eencercare de a trece peste n-a avut succes: pre\u021bul a l\u0103sat, din nou, doar o umbr\u0103 care „a \u00een\u021bepat” acea zon\u0103, dup\u0103 care s-a retras pentru o consolidare cu range restr\u00e2ns, de aproximativ $80, \u00eentre $6400 \u0219i $6480<\/div>\n
Not\u0103: \u00een aceast\u0103 edi\u021bie s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nal\u0103 se observ\u0103 \u00een plus 7 linii verticale albastre (sunt sub\u021biri pentru a nu deranja observarea graficului) – acestea marcheaz\u0103 deschiderea sesiunilor – de luni, de mar\u021bi, etc. \u0219i respectiv \u00eenchiderea acestora<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
* miercuri a fost, de departe, cea mai volatil\u0103 zi a s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute: dac\u0103 deschiderea a adus o cre\u0219tere de $432.5 \u00eentr-o singur\u0103 or\u0103, mi\u0219care menit\u0103 „f\u0103r\u0103 dar \u0219i poate” s\u0103 lichideze pozi\u021biile de short care au folosit levier prea mare, iat\u0103 c\u0103 acest lucru nu a fost deloc sus\u021binut de cump\u0103r\u0103tori mai t\u00e2rziu; respingerea care a avut loc la $6900 (num\u0103r rotund pe care nu a reu\u0219it „s\u0103-l \u00een\u021bepe”) a condus la formarea unui canal descendent, al c\u0103rui rezultat a fost v\u0103dit de partea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor – respingerea anun\u021bat\u0103 de SEC a 3 propuneri pentru Bitcoin ETFs (f\u0103cute de ProShares, Bitwise \u0219i Direxion) i-a determinat pe participan\u021bii la pia\u021b\u0103 s\u0103 asiste la un declin de $343, respectiv 5.16%;<\/div>\n
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Merit\u0103 men\u021bionat faptul c\u0103 pre\u021bul nu a mai \u021binut deloc cont de zona de confluen\u021b\u0103 atunci c\u00e2nd acesta a accelerat \u00een fiece direc\u021bie pe baza \u0219tirilor; \u00eenainte de \u00eenchiderea zilei putem observa o lum\u00e2nare mai ciudat\u0103 dec\u00e2t celelalte: este vorba despre un doji pe care l-am indicat cu o s\u0103geat\u0103 ro\u0219ie deasupra – acesta a realizat singur o diferen\u021b\u0103 de $215 \u00eentre punctul s\u0103u de maxim \u0219i cel de minim, mi\u0219care considerat\u0103 de-a dreptul „choppy”, mai ales dup\u0103 o astfel de sc\u0103dere<\/div>\n
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* sesiunea zilei de joi a fost una lipsit\u0103 de cre\u0219teri sau sc\u0103deri importante, lum\u00e2n\u0103rile afi\u0219\u00e2nd umbre lungi \u00een fiecare direc\u021bie; putem spune c\u0103 a fost o zi menit\u0103 consolid\u0103rii, \u00een care pre\u021bul \u0219i-a g\u0103sit suportul la $6386, nivel pe care l-a str\u0103puns cu dou\u0103 ocazii diferite, dar nu a \u00eenchis sub acesta; la pol opus, aceea\u0219i zon\u0103 de confluen\u021b\u0103 a continuat s\u0103 opun\u0103 rezisten\u021b\u0103; \u00eentre pre\u021bul de deschidere \u0219i cel de \u00eenchidere al acestei zile a existat o diferen\u021b\u0103 de doar $163; datorit\u0103 lipsei de evenimente importante, pre\u021bul s-a comportat pe m\u0103sur\u0103, motiv pentru care voi trece la ziua urm\u0103toare:<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
* iat\u0103 c\u0103 \u00een aceast\u0103 zi a avut loc scenariul discutat vineri, chiar cu c\u00e2teva ore \u00eenainte de desf\u0103\u0219urarea acestuia; comentariul explicat \u00een detaliu \u00eel g\u0103si\u021bi aici<\/a>, cu precizia c\u0103 scenariul a fost descris la rubrica „La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta?”; dup\u0103 o consolidare de aproximativ 16 ore \u00een jurul zonei de confluen\u021b\u0103 – at\u00e2t \u00een interiorul acesteia, c\u00e2t \u0219i peste \u0219i sub – BTC a reu\u0219it s\u0103 \u00eenchid\u0103 peste $6585 pe timeframe-ul folosit \u00een analiz\u0103 – o or\u0103 – lucru care a declan\u0219at un interes crescut al cump\u0103r\u0103torilor fa\u021b\u0103 de testarea rezisten\u021bei importante din aceast\u0103 zon\u0103; de\u0219i ziua de vineri a adus cump\u0103r\u0103torilor un profit de $277 lu\u00e2nd \u00een considerare diferen\u021ba de pre\u021b \u00eentre punctul de deschidere al sesiunii \u0219i cel de maxim, adev\u0103rata testare a rezisten\u021bei a avut loc abia \u00een urm\u0103toarele 2-3 ore, pe parcursul sesiunii de s\u00e2mb\u0103t\u0103;<\/div>\n
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* \u00een prima zi a weekend-ului am putut observa o testare corespunz\u0103toare a acestui nivel, pre\u021bul afi\u0219\u00e2nd o \u00eenchidere cu precizie la linia orizontal\u0103 de la ~$6760; putem vedea \u00een partea superioar\u0103 a graficului urm\u0103toarele:
\n– pre\u021bul testeaz\u0103 $6760, las\u0103 2 umbre peste acest nivel, dar nu reu\u0219e\u0219te s\u0103 \u00eenchid\u0103 peste
\n– se retrage p\u00e2n\u0103 la $6680 pentru o consolidare de 8 ore la jum\u0103tatea zilei, timp \u00een care mai las\u0103 o umbr\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la exact acela\u0219i nivel
\n– spre finalul sesiunii cump\u0103r\u0103torii adun\u0103 for\u021ba necesar\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 unei test\u0103ri – \u0219i aceasta f\u0103r\u0103 succes, las\u00e2nd doar umbre peste<\/div>\n
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* v\u0103z\u00e2nd c\u0103 ace\u0219tia nu reu\u0219esc s\u0103 aibe parte de o cre\u0219tere sus\u021binut\u0103 peste nivelul de rezisten\u021b\u0103, de\u0219i au avut o zi \u00eentreag\u0103 la dispozi\u021bie, v\u00e2nz\u0103torii \u00ee\u0219i fac din nou sim\u021bit\u0103 prezen\u021ba pe parcursul ultimei zile – duminic\u0103; ace\u0219tia nu stau pe g\u00e2nduri \u0219i ac\u021bioneaz\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 de la prima or\u0103 dup\u0103 deschiderea sesiunii, marc\u00e2nd o sc\u0103dere de peste $200, p\u00e2n\u0103 la $6557 – punct de minim al zilei care a reprezentat, totodat\u0103, \u0219i punctul inferior al unui triunghi simetric, continuat pe parcursul zilei de azi<\/div>\n
\n

\u00a0La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta?<\/p>\n

\u0218ansele ca acest triunghi s\u0103 aib\u0103 un deznod\u0103m\u00e2nt \u00een favoarea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor sunt destul de mari, av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 ne afl\u0103m \u00een continuare \u00eentr-un bear market. O \u00eenchidere peste nivelul de rezisten\u021b\u0103 de la $6760 este tot ce au nevoie cump\u0103r\u0103torii \u00een acest moment. Sunt destul de sigur c\u0103 aceast\u0103 \u00eenchidere ar putea duce la o continuare a cre\u0219terii \u0219i la un alt „short squeeze”, p\u00e2n\u0103 la $7025m urm\u0103torul nivel de rezisten\u021b\u0103 care nu apare \u00een grafic. \u00cen cazul \u00een care pre\u021bul iese \u00een sens negativ din triunghi, zona de confluen\u021b\u0103 este primul interval pe care-l urm\u0103resc pentru a g\u0103si suport, urm\u0103torul fiind, \u00een mod evident, $6315<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\n
* Ethereum<\/strong> *<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
\u00a0Evolu\u021bia Ethereum pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (20 – 26 august) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 8.31% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $299.21 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $274.34, av\u00e2nd maximul la $304.09 \u0219i minimul la $259.20.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\"eth\"<\/a><\/div>\n
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\n
\u00a0O diferen\u021b\u0103 bizar\u0103, dac\u0103-mi da\u021bi voie, \u00eentre evolu\u021bia afi\u0219at\u0103 pe Bitcoin \u0219i cea prezent\u0103 mai sus. Dac\u0103 BTC a avut parte de o cre\u0219tere fa\u021b\u0103 de dolarul american pe parcursul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, iat\u0103 c\u0103 ETH nu a reu\u0219it aceea\u0219i performan\u021b\u0103, ba chiar valoarea acestuia s-a depreciat considerabil.<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
* deschiderea sesiunii de luni a condus la formarea unui canal descendent, dup\u0103 o scurt\u0103 testare a pre\u021bului pivot aflat la $304; acesta a fost puternic respins la acest nivel, canalul s-a continuat sub rezisten\u021b\u0103 de la $300, iar ETH a suferit o sc\u0103dere de $35.21; aceast\u0103 sc\u0103dere de 11.58% nu a fost, ce e drept, una direct\u0103, de\u0219i desf\u0103\u0219urarea acesteia s-a \u00eencadrat \u00een totalitate \u00een prima zi a s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii; o zon\u0103 de consolidare, tot descresc\u0103toare conform \u00eenchiderilor afi\u0219ate de lum\u00e2n\u0103ri, a fost format\u0103 \u00een jurul $287 – am \u00eencadrat pe grafic PA-ul \u00een cauz\u0103 printr-o elips\u0103 ro\u0219ie<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
* mar\u021bi a fost o zi destul de volatil\u0103 pentru ETH – pre\u021bul monedei a fluctuat \u00eentre $270 \u0219i $285, cu o prim\u0103 dep\u0103\u0219ire a rezisten\u021bei de la $281, mi\u0219care continuat\u0103 de o revenire a pre\u021bului p\u00e2n\u0103 foarte aproape de cel al deschiderii; o consolidare a fost format\u0103 \u00eentre $278 si $274 – alte dou\u0103 nivele de interes ale evolu\u021biei ETH, dar nu at\u00e2t de importante \u00eenc\u00e2t s\u0103 fie denumite „suport” sau „rezisten\u021b\u0103”; iat\u0103 c\u0103 spre final, \u00eenchiderea a respectat nivelul de rezisten\u021ba de la $281 – dup\u0103 cum am putut observa o respingere mic\u0103 chiar la ultima lum\u00e2nare a sesiunii<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
* dac\u0103 spuneam c\u0103 mar\u021bi a fost o zi volatil\u0103, sta\u021bi s\u0103 vede\u021bi ce s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat miercuri: dac\u0103 deschiderea a afi\u0219at o cre\u0219tere subit\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la $300, nivelul important de rezisten\u021b\u0103 din aceast\u0103 zon\u0103, cre\u0219terea dep\u0103\u0219ind cu u\u0219urin\u021b\u0103 orice nivel intermediar p\u00e2n\u0103 la acest pre\u021b, iat\u0103 c\u0103 ajuns aici acesta a fost respins foarte sever; \u00eenc\u0103rc\u00e2ndu-\u0219i pozi\u021biile de short \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 superioar\u0103, v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au profitat de o sc\u0103dere de anvergur\u0103 pe parcursul acestei zile: $40.45; dac\u0103 \u00een prima parte a sc\u0103derii pre\u021bul a g\u0103sit un oarecare suport la fostul nivel de rezisten\u021b\u0103 de la $281, acest lucru n-a fost s\u0103 \u021bin\u0103: dup\u0103 o consolidare de aproximativ 8 ore peste acest nivel, pre\u021bul \u0219i-a continuat declinul, complet\u00e2nd sc\u0103dere de 13.5%; a\u0219a cum cre\u0219terea amintit\u0103 mai sus n-a \u021binut cont de nivelele intermediare, la fel a fost cazul \u0219i cu aceast\u0103 sc\u0103dere: nu i-a mai stat \u00een cale nicio linie orizontal\u0103; iat\u0103 totu\u0219i c\u0103 spre finalul sesiunii, pre\u021bul \u0219i-a revenit peste nivelul de suport de la $270<\/div>\n
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* \u00een mod similar cu BTC, ziua de joi a fost una lipsit\u0103 de PA interesant pentru ETH, afi\u0219\u00e2nd doar consolidare \u00eentre $270 \u0219i $278, f\u0103r\u0103 a reu\u0219i m\u0103car s\u0103 retesteze nivelul de rezisten\u021b\u0103; pe de alt\u0103 parte, minimul \u0219i maximul acestei zile au fost punctele de plecare ale unui triunghi simetric \u00eencadrat \u00eentre 2 linii ro\u0219ii, pattern care s-a \u00eentins pe durata a dou\u0103 zile<\/div>\n
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* rezultatul triunghiului a fost \u00een sens negativ \u00een prima faz\u0103, \u00eens\u0103 putem observa c\u0103 nivelul de suport a st\u00e2rnit interesul cump\u0103r\u0103torilor de data aceasta, dupa respingerea care a avut loc aici; rezisten\u021ba de la $281 a fost testat\u0103 la scurt timp dup\u0103, sesiune termin\u00e2ndu-se printr-o consolidare \u00een jurul acesteia<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
* \u00een mod similar cu ziua de joi, \u00een ultimele dou\u0103 zile, cele din weekend, PA-ul afi\u0219at de ETH n-a fost deosebit, datorit\u0103 consolid\u0103rii continue \u00een care pre\u021bul se afl\u0103; s\u00e2mb\u0103t\u0103 ETH a cochetat cu nivelul de rezisten\u021b\u0103, iar duminic\u0103 cu cel de suport, form\u00e2nd un dreptunghi orizontal de acumulare<\/div>\n
\n

\u00a0La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta?<\/p>\n

Pe scurt, a\u0219 zice la o cre\u0219tere, iar $320 este niveul de rezisten\u021b\u0103 pe care-l v\u0103d testat pe parcursul acestei s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni DAC\u0102 (aten\u021bie, e un mare dac\u0103 aici) $270 continu\u0103 s\u0103 ofere suportul necesar. Scenariul bullish se invalideaz\u0103 \u00een cazul \u00een care nivelul de suport de la $270 este dep\u0103\u0219it, retestat \u0219i transformat \u00een rezisten\u021b\u0103.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\n

Spor & trade safe
\n-Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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* Bitcoin *\u00a0 \u00a0Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (20 – 26 august) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 3.42% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6485.1 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $6707.0, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6899.0 \u0219i minimul la $6230.0. O s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 destul de asem\u0103n\u0103toare cu cea precedent\u0103, at\u00e2t din punct de vedere al evolu\u021biei propriu zise al PA-ului (price action), c\u00e2t \u0219i din punct de vedere al lum\u00e2n\u0103rii rezultate pe un timeframe superior: Weekly. De\u0219i folosim acelea\u0219i linii deRead More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628],"tags":[369,683,597,116,613,635],"class_list":["post-7020","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","tag-analiza-bitcoin","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-pretul-bitcoin","tag-pretul-ethereum"],"yoast_head":"\nJurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 20 \u2013 26 August - Bitcoin Romania<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto - Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 20 \u2013 26 August - Bitcoin Romania - oferita de primul si cel mai mare exchange crypto din Romania - Bitcoin Romania\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-20-26-august-bitcoin-romania\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 20 \u2013 26 August - 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