{"id":6944,"date":"2018-08-13T10:44:22","date_gmt":"2018-08-13T10:44:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=6944"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:36:52","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:36:52","slug":"jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-6-12-august-bitcoin-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-6-12-august-bitcoin-romania\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 6\u201312 august- Bitcoin Romania"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 6\u201312 august- Bitcoin Romania<\/h3>\n

* Bitcoin *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (6 – 12 august) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 10.12% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0 deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $7025.2 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $6313.9 , av\u00e2nd maximul la $7153.6 \u0219i minimul la $6008.1<\/p>\n

\"btc\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00cencepem analiza s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii precedente cu inspectarea unui element, prezent cu o zi \u00eenainte de deschiderea care a avut loc luni: „orderblock-ul<\/strong><\/em>„. Motivul pentru care pun \u00eentre ghilimele acest termen nu e doar provenien\u021ba din limba englez\u0103 a acestuia, ci \u0219i faptul c\u0103\u00a0 nu e un „OB<\/em>” propriu-zis, cum sunt cele de pe Daily, ci mai degrab\u0103 unul local, pe timeframe-ul (mic<\/em>) folosit: 1H\/ o or\u0103.<\/p>\n

* adesea, lum\u0103n\u0103ri precum cea indicat\u0103 de balotul cu text, care au corpul mai mic dec\u00e2t dimensiunea umbrelor (\u00een fiece direc\u021bie<\/em>) \u0219i sunt aflate la cap\u0103tul unei sc\u0103deri sau a unei cre\u0219teri de propor\u021bii, tind s\u0103 duc\u0103 la stabilirea a\u0219a-zisului „orderblock<\/em>„: o zon\u0103 \u00een care „smart money<\/em>” (banii institu\u021bionali – mai ales) tind s\u0103-\u0219i plaseze ordinele de cump\u0103rare sau de v\u00e2nzare \u00een func\u021bie de bias-ul bearish sau bullish al acestei zone; cel \u00een cauz\u0103 a fost unul bullish iar pre\u021bul ajuns aici, a fost respins de fiecare dat\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een zona rezisten\u021bei de la $7025 \u0219i\u00a0 chiar peste aceasta;<\/p>\n

* o consolidare \u00een jurul rezisten\u021bei, care a durat fix 24 de ore, p\u00e2n\u0103 la deschiderea noii lum\u0103n\u0103ri de Weekly, a condus la stabilirea unei alte rezisten\u021be locale, cu ~$100 mai sus; \u00eentre prima \u0219i a doua testare a acestui pre\u021b, a avut loc o alt\u0103 consolidare \u00een zona verde, cu un minim stabilit la $6847 – \u00eempingere \u00een jos a v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor pentru a lichida pozi\u021biile de long care \u0219i-au l\u0103sat stop loss-ul la ~$6850, dup\u0103 care\u00a0 pre\u021bul \u0219i-a revenit pentru a retesta rezisten\u021ba; primul impul a condus la stabilirea unui canal ascendent, marcat cu ro\u0219u pe grafic, \u00een care\u00a0 v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au \u00eenc\u0103rcat pozi\u021bii de short; de\u0219i pre\u021bul \u00een acest canal forma o serie continu\u0103 de noi minime (higher lows<\/em>), volumul de cump\u0103rare (pe care am ales s\u0103 nu-l mai introduc \u00een grafice pentru a oferi o perspectiv\u0103 mai clar\u0103 asupra lum\u0103n\u0103rilor<\/em>) era din ce \u00een ce mai slab; dup\u0103 cum bine \u0219tim, pre\u021bul ascendent, \u00eenso\u021bit de volum descendent, indic\u0103 un semnal bearish<\/p>\n

* exact ce s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat \u0219i \u00een cazul de fa\u021b\u0103: finalizarea consolid\u0103rii din canalul respectiv a condus la un declin major al pre\u021bului care a oferit un semnal puternic de v\u00e2nzare prin \u00eenchiderea sub 2 nivele de interes ale cump\u0103r\u0103torilor: rezisten\u021ba de la $7025 \u0219i cel mai\u00a0 important – „orderblock-ul<\/em>” stabilit pe parcursul weekend-ului<\/p>\n

* regresul BTC<\/strong>-ului a \u00eenceput cu aproximativ c\u00e2teva ore \u00eenainte ca \u0219tirile [interpretate \u00een mod negativ de c\u0103tre pia\u021b\u0103<\/em>] privind am\u00e2narea ETF-ului s\u0103 circule pe internet; mai multe despre BTC ETF<\/strong>, c\u00e2t \u0219i o analiz\u0103 detaliat\u0103 a zilelor respective g\u0103si\u021bi \u00een acest comentariu<\/a><\/p>\n

* consolidarea format\u0103 \u00een canalul descendent din jurul zonei de confluen\u021b\u0103 (de la $6509 – $6532), a fost ultimul pattern realizat de BTC<\/strong> \u00eenainte de impulsul final \u00een sens negativ: consolidarea a durat 14 ore, a avut o volatilitate de aproximativ $110, a con\u021binut dou\u0103 mi\u0219c\u0103ri impulsive care au testat primul nivel de suport de la $6390 (test\u00e2ndu-le doar cu umbra lum\u0103n\u0103rilor) iar finalizarea sc\u0103derii a fost\u00a0reprezentat\u0103 de o ultim\u0103 presiune impus\u0103 de v\u00e2nz\u0103tori, „\u00een\u021bep\u00e2nd<\/em>” ce-al de-al doilea nivel de suport – de la $6150, mi\u0219care care a marcat\u00a0 o sc\u0103dere total\u0103 de $989.7, respectiv aproape 14%<\/p>\n

* de la atingerea acestui ultim nivel de suport, \u0219i dup\u0103 o astfel de sc\u0103dere de propor\u021bii, cump\u0103r\u0103torii au avut parte de un moment de respiro, BTC<\/strong> afi\u0219\u00e2nd o consolidare de aproape 20 de ore sub cele dou\u0103 nivele de suport, dup\u0103 care ace\u0219tia au intrat \u00een ac\u021biune: de\u0219i zona de confluen\u021b\u0103 a fost transformat\u0103 \u00een rezisten\u021b\u0103, ace\u0219tia s-au bucurat de o cre\u0219tere de 7.23%, p\u00e2n\u0103 la $6628, maximul local stabilit vineri, la ora 1 noaptea; tot aici am putut vedea o lum\u0103nare interesant\u0103, una dintre cele de tip „single<\/em>” care indic\u0103 \u00eentoarcerea trendului bullish: „Shooting Star<\/em>” (steaua c\u0103z\u0103toare – lum\u0103nare a c\u0103rui corp nu reprezint\u0103 mai mult de 30% din umbra din partea superioar\u0103 a acesteia, iar
\numbra inferioar\u0103 trebuie s\u0103 fie mai mic\u0103 dec\u00e2t corpul propriu-zis al lum\u0103n\u0103rii)<\/p>\n

* sc\u0103derea a condus la o retestare a zonei de suport, respins\u0103 de cump\u0103r\u0103tori \u00een prim\u0103 instan\u021b\u0103; dup\u0103 ce ace\u0219tia au \u00eent\u00e2mpinat rezisten\u021b\u0103 din nou \u00een zona de confluen\u021b\u0103, interesul de a plasa ordine de cump\u0103rare (long<\/em>) \u00een aceea\u0219i zon\u0103 de suport a sc\u0103zut, motiv pentru\u00a0care BTC<\/strong> a suferit un al doilea declin de peste $500, p\u00e2n\u0103 la $6010 – punctul de minim al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii, stabilit s\u00e2mb\u0103t\u0103, la miezul nop\u021bii<\/p>\n

* ajuns sub $6150, BTC<\/strong> a afi\u0219at o consolidare de 18 ore \u00eentr-un range foarte str\u00e2ns: de\u0219i umbrele au fos „acciculare<\/em>” (ca s\u0103 spun\u00a0a\u0219a) \u00een ambele direc\u021bii, majoritatea corpurilor prezente pe lum\u0103n\u0103ri n-au dep\u0103\u0219it o diferen\u021b\u0103 de $35 \u00eentre pre\u021bul de deschidere \u0219i cel de\u00a0\u00eenchidere; rezultatul acestei consolid\u0103ri cu volatilitate redus\u0103 a fost de partea „taurilor<\/em>„: ace\u0219tia au pus pe mas\u0103 un profit de aproape $400 \u00een mai pu\u021bin de dou\u0103 ore; de\u0219i la prima \u00eencercare zona de confluen\u021b\u0103 nu a fost atins\u0103, aceasta s-a transformat \u00een rezisten\u021b\u0103 mai t\u00e2rziu, pe parcursul zilei de ast\u0103zi; \u00eentre primul impuls \u00een sens pozitiv \u0219i cel de-al doilea, BTC<\/strong> a afi\u0219at \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 un comportament „choppy<\/em>„, \u00een\u00a0 care toti traderii cu un levier ridicat (peste 25x) au fost lichida\u021bi<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta \u00een continuare?<\/em><\/p>\n

P\u00e2n\u0103 s\u0103 ne \u00eent\u00e2lnim din nou peste 2 zile, cu analiza de miercuri, SEC ar putea da un verdict asupra celuilalt ETF<\/strong> care a\u0219teapt\u0103 o\u00a0 decizie din partea federalilor. \u00cen cazul \u00een care acesta este din nou am\u00e2nat sau refuzat, ne putem a\u0219tepta, desigur, la o continuare a sc\u0103derii, p\u00e2n\u0103 la minimele anului: zona $5800 \u0219i chiar sub. S-ar putea ca BTC<\/strong> s\u0103 afi\u0219eze o cre\u0219tere p\u00e2n\u0103 la primul nivel de rezisten\u021b\u0103 ($6762) p\u00e2n\u0103\u00a0 la pronun\u021barea acestei decizii, dar recomand s\u0103 fi\u021bi aten\u021bi – \u0219tirea poate fi \u00een favoarea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor.<\/p>\n

* Ethereum *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Ethereum<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (6 – 12 august) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 21.59% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0 deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $408.66 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $320.43, av\u00e2nd maximul la $413.98 \u0219i minimul la $305.00<\/p>\n

\"eth\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 pe BTC<\/strong> am asistat la o sc\u0103dere de peste 10% pe parcursul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, iat\u0103 c\u0103 ETH st\u0103 mult mai r\u0103u: odat\u0103 dep\u0103\u0219it pragul psihologic de $400, v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au impus o presiune uria\u0219\u0103 asupra monedei de pe locul 2 conform capitaliz\u0103rii, aceasta suferind un\u00a0 declin p\u00e2na aproape de $300. S\u0103 analiz\u0103m \u00eempreun\u0103 elementele care au constituit o astfel de depreciere:<\/p>\n

* \u00eentr-un mod similar cu BTC<\/strong>, ETH<\/strong> \u0219i-a stabilit un nivel intermediar de suport \u00eenc\u0103 din weekend; acesta a fost la $401 iar test\u0103rile la acest nivel au st\u00e2rnit interesul cump\u0103r\u0103torilor timp de 66 de ore, interval \u00een care pre\u021bul a oscilat \u00eentre linia ro\u0219ie sub\u021bire \u0219i rezisten\u021ba de la\u00a0 $409, nivel pe care l-a dep\u0103\u0219it de c\u00e2teva ori, \u00eens\u0103 aceste treceri peste au fost lipsite de un volum \u00eencrez\u0103tor din partea cump\u0103r\u0103torilor;\u00a0 consolidarea s-a exins p\u00e2n\u0103 mar\u021bi seara, \u00een jurul orei 20, c\u00e2nd ultima dep\u0103\u0219ire a $401 a declan\u0219at o sc\u0103dere de peste 15%; aceasta a fost\u00a0 compus\u0103, la r\u00e2ndul ei, din alte 4 elemente:<\/p>\n

– \u00een primul r\u00e2nd, respingerea de la $409, nivelul superior de rezisten\u021b\u0103<\/p>\n

– dep\u0103\u0219irea suportului intermediar de la $401 – factorul principal<\/p>\n

– formarea unui canal descendent – cel \u00eencadrat cu ro\u0219u – care a avut o volatilitate de aproximativ $10 \u0219i o durat\u0103 de via\u021b\u0103 de\u00a0 18 ore<\/p>\n

– ultimul impuls \u00een sens negativ al v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor, p\u00e2n\u0103 la $346.35<\/p>\n

* acest ultim punct stabilit de pia\u021b\u0103 a fost, totodat\u0103, \u0219i minimul de la care s-a format o serie de higher lows \u0219i de higher highs;\u00a0 din punctul meu de vedere, dreptunghiul \u00eencadrat \u00eentre linii ro\u0219ii punctate a reprezentat un „bear flag<\/em>” care \u0219i-a atins \u021binta odat\u0103 cu\u00a0 intrarea pre\u021bului sub nivelul de suport de la $318<\/p>\n

* consolid\u0103rii din acest „flag<\/em>” i-a luat aproximativ 50 de ore p\u00e2n\u0103 s\u0103 conduc\u0103 traderii c\u0103tre un rezultat decisiv, timp \u00een care\u00a0 ETH a consolidat \u00eentre rezisten\u021ba de la $363 \u0219i suportul de la $355, cu intr\u0103ri \u0219i ie\u0219iri sub ambele nivele;<\/p>\n

* vineri seara, ultima tentativ\u0103 a pre\u021bului de a testa nivelul de suport a e\u0219uat, duc\u00e2nd la completarea patternului de care am\u00a0 vorbit adineauri; \u00een partea de jos putem observa un canal descendent, care a con\u021binut un „gap<\/em>” – un gol \u00een grafic, cauzat de o lips\u0103 a\u00a0 pozi\u021biilor de tip „limit buy<\/em>” \u00een orderbook-ul de pe exchange-ul folosit \u00een analiz\u0103 (BFX);<\/p>\n

* la momentul scrierii acestui comentariu, ETH<\/strong> continu\u0103 s\u0103 consolideze \u00een jurul nivelului de suport de la $318, form\u00e2nd un\u00a0oarecare canal descendent; evolu\u021bia ETH\/USD<\/strong> este, a\u0219a cum am mai zis \u00een comentariile trecute, str\u00e2ns legat\u0103 de evolu\u021bia BTC\/USD<\/strong> – deci \u00een cazul \u00een care dorim s\u0103 \u0219tim cum va excela ETH<\/strong> pe viitor nu trebuie dec\u00e2t s\u0103 urm\u0103rim performan\u021ba BTC<\/strong><\/p>\n

Spor & trade safe
\n-Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 6\u201312 august- Bitcoin Romania * Bitcoin * Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (6 – 12 august) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 10.12% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0 deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $7025.2 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $6313.9 , av\u00e2nd maximul la $7153.6 \u0219i minimul la $6008.1 \u00cencepem analiza s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii precedente cu inspectarea unui element, prezent cu o zi \u00eenainte de deschiderea care a avut loc luni: „orderblock-ul„. Motivul pentru care pun \u00eentre ghilimele acest termenRead More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628],"tags":[683,597,116,613],"class_list":["post-6944","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-pretul-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"\nJurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 6\u201312 august- Bitcoin Romania<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 6\u201312 august- Bitcoin Romania- oferita de primul si cel mai mare exchange crypto din Romania - Bitcoin Romania\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-6-12-august-bitcoin-romania\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 6\u201312 august- Bitcoin Romania\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u2013 6\u201312 august- Bitcoin Romania- oferita de primul si cel mai mare exchange crypto din Romania - 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