{"id":6924,"date":"2018-08-08T11:24:12","date_gmt":"2018-08-08T11:24:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=6924"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:37:53","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:37:53","slug":"jurnalul-crypto-analiza-zilelor-6-7-august-bitcoin-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-zilelor-6-7-august-bitcoin-romania\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza Zilelor 6- 7 August"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza Zilelor 6- 7 August- Bitcoin Romania<\/h3>\n

* Bitcoin *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin<\/strong> pentru zilele precedente (luni \u0219i mar\u021bi \u2013 6-7 August) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 4.36%, consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul\u00a0 de deschidere al zilei de luni de la $7025.2 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de mar\u021bi de la $6718.8, av\u00e2nd maximul la $7153.6 \u0219i minimul la $6677.0<\/p>\n

\"btc\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Sentimentul bearish, predominant pe pia\u021b\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 de la \u00eenchiderea de pe Weekly a s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, a continuat s\u0103-\u0219i fac\u0103\u00a0sim\u021bit\u0103 prezen\u021ba \u0219i \u00een ultimele dou\u0103 zile – luni \u0219i mar\u021bi. De\u0219i v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au pus o presiune major\u0103 asupra pre\u021bului, acesta se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-o\u00a0 zon\u0103 de interes. G\u0103si\u021bi \u00een cele ce urmeaz\u0103 at\u00e2t analiza acestuia, c\u00e2t \u0219i elementele care au condus la o astfel de sc\u0103dere:<\/p>\n

* deschiderea de luni, constituit\u0103 dintr-o scurt\u0103 consolidare \u00een jurul a $7050 \u00een prima or\u0103 a sesiunii, a dorit retestarea nivelului de rezisten\u021b\u0103 de la ~$7100; ajuns aici, pre\u021bul a fluctuat timp de 6 ore \u00een jurul acesteia, av\u00e2nd parte at\u00e2t de test\u0103ri din sens superior, c\u00e2t\u00a0\u0219i din sens inferior – ac\u021biune a pre\u021bului care ne conduce la concluzia c\u0103 linia de rezisten\u021b\u0103 a jucat un rol de pivot, cel pu\u021bin local; privind lucrurile din retrospectiv\u0103 la acest nivel, putem afirma c\u0103 tot aici a avut loc \u0219i formarea unui pennant\/ fanion<\/p>\n

* printre traderii pie\u021belor financiare circul\u0103 o vorb\u0103 care spune a\u0219a: „the trend is your friend<\/em>” (trendul este prietenul t\u0103u);\u00a0 semnifica\u021bia acesteia este urm\u0103toarea: trebuie s\u0103 \u021binem cont de trendul \u00een care ne afl\u0103m \u00eenainte de a adopta o pozi\u021bie; \u00eentr-un trend\u00a0 bearish, cum este cel \u00een care ne afl\u0103m momentan, ar trebui s\u0103 c\u0103ut\u0103m cele mai bune intr\u0103ri de short (de v\u00e2nzare<\/em>); \u00eentr-un trend bullish, cum a fost cel de anul trecut, ar fi trebuit, desigur, s\u0103 c\u0103ut\u0103m cele mai bune intr\u0103ri de long (de cump\u0103rare<\/em>); motivul pentru care fac\u00a0 aceast\u0103 abstrac\u021bie de la analiz\u0103 pentru zicala de mai sus este urm\u0103torul: aceasta se aplic\u0103 \u0219i pe un timeframe mai mic, cum este cel\u00a0 folosit de noi – 15 m, 1h, etc – iar forma\u021biunile \u0219i dep\u0103\u0219irea liniilor orizontale are loc, de cele mai multe ori, \u00een jos; putem observa c\u0103 la\u00a0 fel a fost cazul \u0219i acum: rezultatul consolid\u0103rii din pennant a fost „o \u00eempingere<\/em>” realizat\u0103 de v\u00e2nz\u0103tori, care a condus pre\u021bul p\u00e2n\u0103 la\u00a0 $6920, primul nivel care a oferit suport dup\u0103 aceast\u0103 sc\u0103dere;<\/p>\n

* odat\u0103 cu stabilirea acestui suport intermediar, mi\u0219care continuat\u0103 de testarea unei rezisten\u021be, la $6980, s-a stabilit \u0219i primul „range<\/em>” mai serios de consolidare al acestor dou\u0103 zile; diferen\u021ba \u00eentre punctul de minim \u0219i cel de maxim de la acest nivel a fost de $160, iar consolid\u0103rii i-a luat pu\u021bin peste 22 ore p\u00e2n\u0103 s\u0103 realizeze urm\u0103toarea mi\u0219care; suport a fost fixat pe grafic prin multiple test\u0103ri ale\u00a0 acestuia, la fel ca \u0219i rezisten\u021b\u0103, \u00eens\u0103 putem observa c\u0103 au existat „devia\u021bii<\/em>” \u00een ambele sensuri, mi\u0219c\u0103ri menite s\u0103 p\u0103c\u0103leasc\u0103 traderii de intra-day (\u00een timpul zilei<\/em>)<\/p>\n

* prima dep\u0103\u0219ire real\u0103 a unui nivel (care nu a fost devia\u021bie sau „fakeout<\/em>„), a avut loc \u00een sens pozitiv \u0219i a condus la retestarea\u00a0 rezisten\u021bei de la ~$7100; un alt pre\u021b de interes, pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 cel de rezisten\u021b\u0103, a fost $7070: acesta a opus, la prima testare, rezisten\u021b\u0103 din\u00a0 partea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor, fiind transformat mar\u021bi dup\u0103-amiaza \u00een suport la c\u00e2teva test\u0103ri ale acestuia; tot aici a avut loc \u0219i formarea unui\u00a0 canal ascendent (\u00eencadrat cu ro\u0219u), al c\u0103rui rezultat a fost tot de partea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor<\/p>\n

* urm\u0103toarea testare a $7070, moment \u00eencadrat cu o elips\u0103 ro\u0219ie pe grafic, a condus la \u00eenchiderea sub acest nivel \u0219i la o\u00a0 mi\u0219care \u00een sens negativ mult mai ampl\u0103 dec\u00e2t ce am v\u0103zut p\u00e2n\u0103 acum; sc\u0103derea a fost construit\u0103 din mai multe p\u0103r\u021bi, dup\u0103 cum\u00a0 urmeaz\u0103:<\/p>\n

– prima, a\u0219a cum am precizat \u0219i mai sus, a fost dep\u0103\u0219irea nivelului $7070<\/p>\n

– a doua, retestarea fostului nivel de suport de la $6920 \u0219i transformarea acestuia \u00een rezisten\u021b\u0103<\/p>\n

– a treia, dep\u0103\u0219irea unui (fost) nivel sl\u0103bu\u021b de suport, aflat la $6760; la fel ca \u0219i mai sus, „trecerea prin” acesta a fost
\ncontinuat\u0103 de o retestare scurt\u0103 \u0219i neglijent\u0103 a pie\u021bei, fapt care nu a f\u0103cut dec\u00e2t s\u0103 continue mi\u0219carea \u00een jos<\/p>\n

– a patra, realizarea unui dreptunghi de consolidare \u00een jurul nivelului $6600; BTC<\/strong> a petrecut doar 4 ore \u00een acesta<\/p>\n

– a cincia, \u0219i ultima: o lum\u0103nare capitulativ\u0103 \u00een jos, care a l\u0103sat \u00een urm\u0103 doar o umbr\u0103; dou\u0103 test\u0103ri ale zonei de suport aflate \u00eentre $6350 \u0219i $6390 au condus la o respingere p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een zona de confluen\u021b\u0103; transformarea acestui canal verde \u00een rezisten\u021b\u0103 ar putea\u00a0 duce la o continuare a consolid\u0103rii \u00een jurul nivelului de suport<\/p>\n

Not\u0103: din punct de vedere fundamental, sc\u0103derea la care am asistat a fost cauzat\u0103 de respingerea ETF-ului (Exchange Traded Fund<\/em>) de c\u0103tre SEC (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission<\/em>) – institu\u021bia federal\u0103 a americanilor, responsabil\u0103 de clasificarea \u0219i\u00a0 regulatizarea securit\u0103\u021bilor.<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta?<\/em><\/p>\n

Momentan, BTC<\/strong> se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-o zon\u0103 important\u0103 de suport. O oarecare cre\u0219tere de aici este probabil\u0103. \u00cen cazul \u00een care suportul de la ~$6300 nu \u021bine, lucrurile se pot \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u021bi rapid. $5800 e urm\u0103torul suport, \u00eens\u0103 multiplele test\u0103ri ale acelui nivel m\u0103 fac s\u0103 cred\u00a0 c\u0103 nu va continua s\u0103 ofere suport \u00een cazul \u00een care pre\u021bul ajunge din nou acolo. Simplu spus: dac\u0103 BTC nu-\u0219i revine de la nivelul curent… pia\u021ba crypto are de suferit.<\/p>\n

* Ethereum *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Ethereum<\/strong> pentru zilele precedente (luni \u0219i mar\u021bi – 6, 7 august) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 7.55%, consider\u00e2nd\u00a0pre\u021bul de deschidere al zilei de luni de la $408.66 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de mar\u021bi de la $377.82, av\u00e2nd maximul la $413.98 \u0219i minimul\u00a0 la $368.00<\/p>\n

\"eth\"<\/a>
\n* reac\u021biile ETH<\/strong>-ului fa\u021b\u0103 de USD, \u00een prima zi a acestei analize, seam\u0103n\u0103 mult cu cele ale BTC<\/strong>-ului; o diferen\u021b\u0103 se observ\u0103 \u00een\u00a0 faptul c\u0103 ETH<\/strong> atac\u0103 punctul de maxim al sesiunii imediat dup\u0103 deschidere, afl\u00e2ndu-se deja peste nivelul de rezisten\u021b\u0103, spre deosebire de BTC<\/strong>, care s-a aflat sub la deschidere; odat\u0103 atins $413, maximul local stabilit luni, ETH<\/strong> stabile\u0219te un prim canal descendent, av\u00e2nd\u00a0 punctul superior de plecare chiar acolo; o sc\u0103dere de $12 a avut loc \u00eentre acest maxim \u0219i minimul local, din apropiere de $400; range-ul redus al canalului, de doar $4, a indicat o volatilitate lipsit\u0103 de substan\u021b\u0103 \u00een aceast\u0103 consolidare<\/p>\n

* dup\u0103 o scurt\u0103 cre\u0219tere de 1.3%, dup\u0103 ce minimul a fost atins, ETH<\/strong> „pune bazele<\/em>” unui nou canal descendent, acesta din urm\u0103 av\u00e2nd o diferen\u021b\u0103 \u00eentre maxim \u0219i minim mai mic\u0103 dec\u00e2t cel precedent: $6.28 \u0219i o volatilitate la fel de redus\u0103: nici m\u0103car $3; datele oferite sunt corecte \u0219i precise, \u00eens\u0103 n-am mai pus „price range-ul” pe grafic \u00een Canalul 2 pentru a nu \u00eenc\u0103rca zona respectiv\u0103<\/p>\n

* a\u0219a cum spune \u0219i numele ata\u0219at liniei orizontale de la $405, nivelul respectiv de suport a fost unul slab, acesta fiind stabilit doar de \u00eenchiderea de pe Daily a zilei de luni; moneda a continuat printr-o consolidare peste acesta, pentru ca mai apoi s\u0103 \u00eencerce din\u00a0 nou rezisten\u021ba; o consolidare de aproximativ 11 ore a avut loc \u00een dreptunghiul \u00eencadrat cu ro\u0219u de deasupra rezisten\u021bei; la fel ca \u0219i pe\u00a0 BTC<\/strong>, rezultatul consolid\u0103rii a fost de partea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor, iar sc\u0103derea din acela\u0219i motiv fundamental: am\u00e2narea deciziei anun\u021bat\u0103 de
\nc\u0103tre SEC;<\/p>\n

* sc\u0103derea de pe ETH<\/strong> a fost mult mai „feroce<\/em>” dec\u00e2t cea de pe BTC<\/strong>: aceasta nu a fost constituit\u0103 din at\u00e2tea elemente de\u00a0 consolidare, ci a atacat direct nivelul de suport istoric de la ~$370; o \u00een\u021bepare a acestuia a condus la lichiditate oferit\u0103 de stop loss-urile traderilor care au adoptat pozi\u021bii de long, iar o cre\u0219tere de $14.21 a fost posibil\u0103<\/p>\n

* din punctul meu de vedere, acest „bounce<\/em>” a realizat punctul de maxim \u0219i cel de minim al unei forma\u021biuni numite „falling wedge<\/em>” (pennant\/ fanion \u00een c\u0103dere); la momentul scrierii acestui articol, ETH<\/strong> continu\u0103 s\u0103 consolideze \u0219i s\u0103 respecte liniile de trend ale forma\u021biunii, \u00eencadrate cu ro\u0219u; \u0219ansele ca rezultatul acestui pattern s\u0103 fie unul pozitiv sunt mai mari dec\u00e2t \u00een favoarea unei\u00a0continu\u0103ri, \u00eens\u0103 trebuie s\u0103 \u021binem cont \u0219i de zicala de mai sus: „trend is your friend<\/em>„<\/p>\n

* av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere \u0219i perspectiva macro, ETH<\/strong> se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-o continu\u0103 sc\u0103dere de mai bine de 10 zile; o cre\u0219tere este posibil\u0103, dar e important ca nivelul de suport din partea inferioar\u0103 a graficului s\u0103 \u021bin\u0103<\/p>\n

Spor & trade safe
\n-Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.<\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza Zilelor 6- 7 August- Bitcoin Romania * Bitcoin * Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru zilele precedente (luni \u0219i mar\u021bi \u2013 6-7 August) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 4.36%, consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul\u00a0 de deschidere al zilei de luni de la $7025.2 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de mar\u021bi de la $6718.8, av\u00e2nd maximul la $7153.6 \u0219i minimul la $6677.0 Sentimentul bearish, predominant pe pia\u021b\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103 de la \u00eenchiderea de pe Weekly a s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, a continuat s\u0103-\u0219i fac\u0103\u00a0sim\u021bit\u0103 prezen\u021ba \u0219i \u00eenRead More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628],"tags":[683,597,116,613],"class_list":["post-6924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-pretul-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"\nJurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza Zilelor 6- 7 August- Bitcoin Romania<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza Zilelor 6- 7 August- Bitcoin Romania - 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