{"id":6869,"date":"2018-07-30T10:34:05","date_gmt":"2018-07-30T10:34:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=6869"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:37:53","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:37:53","slug":"jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-23-29-iulie-bitcoin-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-23-29-iulie-bitcoin-romania\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 23-29 iulie- Bitcoin Romania"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 23-29 iulie- Bitcoin Romania<\/h3>\n

* Bitcoin *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (23 iulie – 29 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 11.11% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $7398.7 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $8221.0, av\u00e2nd maximul la $8506.7 \u0219i minimul la $7374.0<\/p>\n

\"btc\"<\/a><\/p>\n

O s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 volatil\u0103 pentru Bitcoin<\/strong>, un lucru pe care orice trader \u00ee\u0219i dore\u0219te s\u0103-l vad\u0103 \u00een performan\u021ba acestei monede. De\u0219i\u00a0 spre finalul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii aceasta s-a redus, consolidarea de durat\u0103 \u00een care s-a aflat poate indica faptul c\u0103 o alt\u0103 mi\u0219care de anvergur\u0103 se apropie. Haide\u021bi s\u0103 discut\u0103m \u00eempreun\u0103 elementele care au constituit evolu\u021bia ultimei s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni \u0219i, cu ajutorul acestora, s\u0103 \u00eencerc\u0103m s\u0103 ne d\u0103m seama de direc\u021bia \u00een care pre\u021bul va performa.<\/p>\n

* BTC<\/strong> a avut parte de o deschidere bullish la \u00eenceputul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, afi\u0219\u00e2nd o cre\u0219tere de $423 (5.72%) \u00een primele 7 ore ale sesiunii; aceast\u0103 cre\u0219tere a venit dup\u0103 formarea unui canal ascendent pe parcursul weekend-ului trecut<\/p>\n

Not\u0103: \u00een ultimele 2 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, am observat faptul c\u0103 formarea canalelor ascendente (at\u00e2t pe un timeframe de 15 minute – la analiza intraday – c\u00e2t \u0219i pe 1 or\u0103 – la analiza s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii<\/em>) au condus mereu la mi\u0219c\u0103ri impulsive \u00een sus\/ la cre\u0219teri ale pre\u021bului.<\/p>\n

* imediat dup\u0103 primele 3 ore (din totalul de 7 de care spuneam), pre\u021bul a consolidat o scurt\u0103 perioad\u0103 de timp \u00eentre linia\u00a0orizontal\u0103 de suport de la $7718 \u0219i zona de confluen\u021b\u0103 marcat\u0103 cu albastru pe grafic (\u00eentre $7622 \u0219i $7654); \u00een aceea\u0219i zon\u0103, acesta a\u00a0\u00eent\u00e2mpinat rezisten\u021b\u0103 la $7750, de\u0219i multe dintre lum\u0103n\u0103rile prezente \u00een dreptunghiul \u00eencadrat cu ro\u0219u au l\u0103sat \u00een urm\u0103 lum\u0103n\u0103ri \u00een partea de sus peste acest nivel<\/p>\n

* dup\u0103 o consolidare de aproximativ 20 de ore, rezisten\u021ba a fost transformat\u0103 brusc \u00een suport, iar pre\u021bul s-a bucurat de o alt\u0103 cre\u0219tere, aceasta fiind de peste $600 (7.85%); de\u0219i impulsul n-a fost dintr-o bucat\u0103, acesta a adus cump\u0103r\u0103torilor un profit substan\u021bial: prima parte a cre\u0219terii a fost constituit\u0103 din formarea unui „bullish pennant” (forma\u021biune cunoscut\u0103 pentru semnaul de continuare\u00a0a mi\u0219c\u0103rii \u00een sens pozitiv pe care-l ofer\u0103), iar a doua – finalizarea impulsului<\/p>\n

* desigur, acesta a fost continuat de o scurt\u0103 corec\u021bie pentru a lichida traderii care au adoptat o pozi\u021bie de long mult prea\u00a0t\u00e2rziu: cre\u0219terea a fost succedat\u0103 de o sc\u0103dere de aproximativ $240 \u00eentre punctul de maxim local \u0219i dreptunghiul mic ro\u0219u aflat imediat sub; o consolidare \u00een jurul celei de-a doua zon\u0103 de confluen\u021b\u0103 (\u00eencadrat\u0103 cu verde, spre deosebire de cealalt\u0103) a condus la un ultim\u00a0impuls \u00een sens pozitiv: acesta a ajuns p\u00e2n\u0103 la $8506, maximul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2niil; \u021bin s\u0103 precizez faptul c\u0103 atingerea acestuia are o importan\u021b\u0103 deosebit\u0103, deoarece aici s-au aflat un num\u0103r ridicat de stop loss-uri ale pozi\u021biilor de short; se poate observa cu u\u0219urin\u021b\u0103 care a fost\u00a0 rezultatul „\u00een\u021bep\u0103rii<\/em>” acestui prag psihologic:<\/p>\n

* o sc\u0103dere de $356; una oarecum fireasc\u0103 dup\u0103 „maratonul<\/em>” pe care BTC<\/strong> l-a afi\u0219at \u00een ultimele 10 zile; un prim suport local a fost g\u0103sit la $8080, nivel pe care l-a atins de 2 ori \u00eenainte de a mai avea un impuls de cre\u0219tere p\u00e2n\u0103 peste $8300; aici pre\u021bul a avut un comportament „choppy<\/em>„, dorindu-\u0219i s\u0103 scoat\u0103 traderii care folosesc un levier ridicat din pozi\u021bia adoptat\u0103 (fie ea de long sau short)<\/p>\n

* consolidare \u00een jurul zonei verzi – aproximativ 20 de ore – dup\u0103 care BTC<\/strong> a suferit o a doua corec\u021bie, de o amplitudine mai ridicat\u0103 dec\u00e2t prima: $456.4 (5.5%), profit „pus pe mas\u0103<\/em>” de c\u0103tre v\u00e2nz\u0103tori; la pragul inferior al acestei sc\u0103deri, Bitcoin<\/strong> a consolidat timp de 16 ore, mi\u0219care cu volatilitate redus\u0103 care a fost continuat\u0103, din nou, de o cre\u0219tere impulsiv\u0103, aproape la fel de mare ca \u0219i sc\u0103derea: $447, p\u00e2n\u0103 foarte aproape de $8300, pragul superior al canalului de consolidare \u00een care pre\u021bul se afl\u0103 de ceva vreme<\/p>\n

* de la aceast\u0103 ultim\u0103 mi\u0219care \u0219i p\u00e2n\u0103 la momentul scrierii acestui comentariu, BTC<\/strong> n-a mai afi\u0219at o direc\u021bie clar\u0103 a pre\u021bului, ci doar a consolidat timp de peste 60 de ore \u00eentre cele dou\u0103 linii ro\u0219ii \u00eengro\u0219ate: $8080 \u0219i $8300; se pot observa umbre ale lum\u0103n\u0103rilor pe acest timeframe (1 H) care au \u00een\u021bepat liniile orizontale \u00een ambele sensuri; pentru o mai bun\u0103 observare a acestora, le-am \u00eencadrat\u00a0cu cercule\u021be ro\u0219ii – acestea au avut, desigur, rolul de a atinge stop loss-uri \u00een ambele direc\u021bii<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta \u00een continuare?<\/em><\/p>\n

Av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere consolidarea cu o volatilitate relativ redus\u0103 \u00een care pre\u021bul se afl\u0103 de mai bine de 2 zile, prezicerea direc\u021biei\u00a0 \u00een care BTC<\/strong> o poate lua se \u00eengreuneaz\u0103 pu\u021bin. Trebuie s\u0103 \u021binem cont de faptul c\u0103 moneda a petrecut foarte pu\u021bin timp sub $8000 \u00een ultimele zile, lucru care poate indica o variant\u0103 din cele 2:<\/p>\n

1) cump\u0103r\u0103torii se afl\u0103 \u00een control \u0219i nu sunt dispu\u0219i s\u0103 cedeze teren \u00een fa\u021ba v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor
\n2) v\u00e2nz\u0103torii men\u021bin \u00een mod inten\u021bionat pre\u021bul ridicat pentru a face o distribu\u021bie \u0219i pentru a \u00eenc\u0103rca pozi\u021biile (de short<\/em>) dorite<\/p>\n

\u021ain\u00e2nd cont de cele 2 puncte amintite mai sus, speculez c\u0103 vom mai vedea m\u0103car o cre\u0219tere p\u00e2n\u0103 (sau foarte aproape<\/em>) la\u00a0linia orizontal\u0103 de rezisten\u021b\u0103 de la $8390. Dac\u0103 pre\u021bul reu\u0219e\u0219te s\u0103 \u00eenchid\u0103 peste $8500 – lucrurile se \u00eenr\u0103ut\u0103\u021besc rapid pentru v\u00e2nz\u0103tori, deoarece nivelul respectiv poate declan\u0219a o continuare a impulsului de cre\u0219tere cu \u00eenc\u0103 $100-$300.<\/p>\n

\u00cen cazul \u00een care nu face\u021bi trading folosind levierul, ci doar cump\u0103ra\u021bi Bitcoin<\/strong> – recomand respectuos s\u0103 ave\u021bi r\u0103bdare. A\u0219a cum\u00a0am precizat \u00een comentariile trecute, continui s\u0103 sus\u021bin c\u0103 zona $7600 – $7800 r\u0103m\u00e2ne cel mai favorabil interval de cump\u0103rare.<\/p>\n

* Ethereum *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Ethereum<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (23 iulie – 29 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 1.85% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $457.99 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $466.47, av\u00e2nd maximul la $485.28 \u0219i minimul la $446.00<\/p>\n

\"eth\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Av\u00e2nd o diferen\u021b\u0103 total\u0103 de aproape $40 \u00eentre punctul de minim al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u0219i cel de maxim, \u0219i o discrepan\u021b\u0103 de doar $8.5 \u00eentre pre\u021bul de deschidere \u0219i cel de \u00eenchidere, putem afirma c\u0103 \u00eentreaga mi\u0219care afi\u0219at\u0103 de ETH<\/strong> pe parcursul ultimelor 7 zile nu este altceva dec\u00e2t o consolidare \u00eenaintea unei mi\u0219c\u0103ri de amploare. De\u0219i diferen\u021ba a fost mic\u0103, haide\u021bi s\u0103 analiz\u0103m \u00eempreun\u0103 elementele care au\u00a0 constituit-o:<\/p>\n

* o similaritate \u00eentre BTC<\/strong> \u0219i ETH<\/strong>, c\u00e2nd vine vorba de comportamentul pre\u021bului, am avut doar la deschiderea sesiunii de luni, 23 iulie: primele 5 ore au fost bullish pentru Ethereum<\/strong>, cu o cre\u0219tere de $12.68 marcat\u0103 de cump\u0103r\u0103tori; odat\u0103 cu aceasta, pia\u021ba a testat canalul de confluen\u021b\u0103, care a opus o rezisten\u021b\u0103 destul de mare \u00eenc\u0103 de la prima testare; se poate observa respingerea agresiv\u0103 pe care v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au realizat-o at\u00e2t \u00een weekend (am marcat cu o s\u0103geat\u0103 ro\u0219ie lum\u0103narea<\/em>), c\u00e2t \u0219i imediat dup\u0103 cre\u0219terea de 2.77% despre care vorbim; faptul c\u0103 pre\u021bul n-a l\u0103sat dec\u00e2t 2 umbre \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 a indicat o zon\u0103 puternic\u0103 de oferte<\/p>\n

* respingerea care a avut loc la acest nivel a fost de dou\u0103 ori mai riguroas\u0103 dec\u00e2t cre\u0219terea afi\u0219at\u0103 de la deschidere: declinul a \u00eensumat $24.57 (5.22%) \u0219i a fost alc\u0103tuit din 3 faze: o sc\u0103dere slab\u0103, o scurt\u0103 consolidare \u00een chenarul ro\u0219u \u0219i o sc\u0103dere abrupt\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la punctul de minim al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii;<\/p>\n

* consolidarea din jurul $450, nivel de suport stabilit prin multiple test\u0103ri ale macro-trendului, a durat aproximativ 8 ore \u0219i a fost succedat de o cre\u0219tere impulsiv\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 peste nivelul orizontal de rezisten\u021b\u0103: pre\u021bului i-a luat aproximativ 9 ore s\u0103 creasc\u0103 cu $35 (7.78%); pe parcursul acesteia, canalul de confluen\u021b\u0103, care \u00een prim\u0103 faz\u0103 a opus rezisten\u021b\u0103, a oferit suportul necesar unei consolid\u0103ri, odat\u0103 ce acesta a fost dep\u0103\u0219it;<\/p>\n

* 5 umbre consecutive l\u0103sate de cump\u0103r\u0103tori \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 verde au indicat pie\u021bei interesul acestora pentru a mai realiza \u00eenc\u0103 „o \u00eempingere<\/em>” \u00een sens pozitiv, reu\u0219ind s\u0103 str\u0103pung\u0103 nivelul $485 – \u00eens\u0103 pentru o perioad\u0103 foarte scurt\u0103 de timp; probabil aceast\u0103\u00a0 ultim\u0103 cre\u0219tere a fost realizat\u0103 \u00een mod inten\u021bionat pentru ca ace\u0219tia s\u0103-\u0219i marcheze profiturile \u0219i s\u0103 lase v\u00e2nz\u0103torii s\u0103 se ocupe de\u00a0evolu\u021bia pre\u021bului;<\/p>\n

* putem spune c\u0103 un discutabil „double top<\/em>” s-a format \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103, interval \u00eentre care pre\u021bul a g\u0103sit suport \u00een aceea\u0219i zon\u0103 de confluen\u021b\u0103; lum\u0103narea de la acest nivel marcat\u0103 cu o s\u0103geat\u0103 ro\u0219ie a ajuns p\u00e2n\u0103 la $464 – de ce? – pentru a \u00een\u021bepa $465, desigur;<\/p>\n

Not\u0103: \u00een plasarea ordinelor dumneavoastr\u0103, \u021bine\u021bi cont mereu de atingerea acestori praguri psihologice reprezentate de numere rotunde (multiplu de 5 sau de 10 \u00een cazul ETH<\/strong>-ului \u0219i multiplu de 100 \u00een cazul BTC<\/strong>-ului<\/em>); cel mai adesea pia\u021ba va for\u021ba numerele rotunde (chiar \u0219i pentru o perioad\u0103 foarte scurt\u0103 de timp<\/em>) pentru a-i scoate pe traderi din pozi\u021biile adoptate, dup\u0103 care ve\u021bi observa c\u0103 pre\u021bul va evolua \u00een sens invers;<\/p>\n

* de la nivelul de rezisten\u021b\u0103 \u0219i p\u00e2n\u0103 la linia ro\u0219ie de jos, ETH a suferit un alt declin de aproape 5%, sc\u0103dere \u00eentrerupt\u0103 de\u00a0 consolidarea care a avut loc la $463, suportul local stabilit cu ajutorul \u00eenchiderii de pe Daily care a avut loc vineri; ajuns aici (la $456), pre\u021bul a luat din nou o \u00eentors\u0103tur\u0103 rapid\u0103 \u00een sens invers, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een zona verde dintre $470 \u0219i $472, afi\u0219\u00e2nd chiar \u0219i o \u00eenchidere peste –\u00a0 reac\u021bie a pre\u021bului menit\u0103, probabil, s\u0103 prind\u0103 cump\u0103r\u0103torii \u00een capcan\u0103;<\/p>\n

* de s\u00e2mb\u0103t\u0103 \u0219i p\u00e2n\u0103 la momentul scrierii acestui comentariu, ETH continu\u0103 s\u0103 consolideze \u00eentre canalul de confluen\u021b\u0103 (care momentan opune rezisten\u021b\u0103) \u0219i nivelul de suport de la $462;<\/p>\n

O predi\u021bie fa\u021b\u0103 ce direc\u021bia \u00een care pre\u021bul o poate lua?<\/em><\/p>\n

Destul de probabil ca ETH<\/strong> s\u0103 evolueze invers fa\u021b\u0103 de BTC<\/strong> \u00een cazul \u00een care acesta din urm\u0103 cre\u0219te. Dac\u0103 BTC<\/strong> cre\u0219te – probabil c\u0103 ETH<\/strong> va sc\u0103dea; dac\u0103 BTC<\/strong> scade… ei bine, probababil c\u0103 ETH<\/strong> va face acela\u0219i lucru. Sun\u0103 destul de defavorabil pentru cump\u0103r\u0103tori, nu?<\/p>\n

Nivelurile importante care trebuiesc urm\u0103rite sunt:<\/p>\n

i) cel de rezisten\u021b\u0103, de la $480<\/p>\n

ii) cel de suport, de la $450<\/p>\n

O \u00eenchidere pe Daily peste rezisten\u021b\u0103 sau sub suport ar putea conduce la o continuare a mi\u0219c\u0103rii \u00een direc\u021bia respectiv\u0103.<\/p>\n

Refuz s\u0103-mi dau cu p\u0103rerea asupra direc\u021biei pentru ETH<\/strong> \u00een acest moment deoarece graficul se afl\u0103 \u00eentr-o consolidare iar rezultatul acesteia nu este foarte clar. La evolu\u021bia ETH<\/strong>-ului fa\u021b\u0103 de USD<\/strong> trebuie s\u0103 lu\u0103m \u00een calcul \u0219i performan\u021ba ETH \/ BTC<\/strong> !<\/p>\n

Spor & trade safe
\n-Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.<\/em><\/p>\n

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Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 23-29 iulie- Bitcoin Romania * Bitcoin * Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (23 iulie – 29 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 11.11% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $7398.7 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $8221.0, av\u00e2nd maximul la $8506.7 \u0219i minimul la $7374.0 O s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 volatil\u0103 pentru Bitcoin, un lucru pe care orice trader \u00ee\u0219i dore\u0219te s\u0103-l vad\u0103 \u00een performan\u021ba acestei monede. De\u0219i\u00a0 spre finalul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii aceasta s-a redus, consolidarea de durat\u0103 \u00een careRead More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628],"tags":[683,597,116,613],"class_list":["post-6869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-pretul-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"\nJurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza 23-29 iulie | Bitcoin Romania<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 23-29 iulie- Bitcoin Romania - oferita de primul si cel mai mare exchange crypto din Romania - Bitcoin Romania\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-23-29-iulie-bitcoin-romania\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza 23-29 iulie | Bitcoin Romania\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 23-29 iulie- Bitcoin Romania - 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