{"id":6790,"date":"2018-07-16T11:31:49","date_gmt":"2018-07-16T11:31:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=6790"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:37:54","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:37:54","slug":"analiza-tehnica-09-15-iulie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/analiza-tehnica-09-15-iulie\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza Saptamanii 09-15 iulie- Bitcoin Romania"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza Saptamanii 09-15 iulie- Bitcoin Romania<\/h3>\n

* Bitcoin *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (9 iulie – 15 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 5.36\u00a0% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0 deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6707.0 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de 6347.2 $, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6820.0 \u0219i minimul la $6079.9<\/p>\n

\"btc1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

– primele 21 de ore au fost petrecute de BTC<\/strong> \u00eentr-un canal orizontal de consolidare cu volatilitate redus\u0103: pre\u021bul a \u00eenregistrat o fluctua\u021bie de $157 \u00eentre minimul de la $6663 \u0219i $6820 – punctul de maxim al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii, stabilit luni la ora 1 AM; cre\u0219terea brusc\u0103\u00a0 peste nivelul orizontal de rezisten\u021b\u0103 de la $6761 s-a sf\u00e2r\u0219it cu o respingere sever\u0103 din partea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor care au adoptat pozi\u021bii de short (de v\u00e2nzare) la >$6800<\/p>\n

– aceast\u0103 respingere a fost continuat\u0103 de formarea unui alt canal orizontal, acesta fiind \u00eens\u0103 unul descendent, \u00eenregistr\u00e2nd o volatilitate de aproximativ $70 pe parcursul declinului<\/p>\n

– ie\u0219irea din acest ultim canal s-a sf\u00e2r\u0219it tot printr-un declin impus de v\u00e2nz\u0103tori, \u00eenceput mar\u021bi \u00een jurul orei 12 PM \u0219i sf\u00e2r\u0219it 3 ore mai t\u00e2rziu, sc\u0103dere care a marcat un total de $264 \u00een favoarea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor; aici s-au stabilit noi nivele orizontale de suport \u0219i\u00a0 rezisten\u021b\u0103: v\u0103z\u00e2nd c\u0103 zona de confluen\u021b\u0103 dintre $6509 \u0219i $6532 nu a oferit suportul necesar, cump\u0103r\u0103torii au fost nevoi\u021bi s\u0103 piard\u0103\u00a0teren, stabilind un nou nivel de suport la ~$6300, pe parcursul sesiunii de miercuri; tot \u00een aceea\u0219i zi a fost stabilit\u0103 \u0219i o nou\u0103 rezisten\u021b\u0103: $6391 – lucru care a indicat o sl\u0103biciune din partea „taurilor”, nereu\u0219ind s\u0103 marcheze o \u00eenchidere peste $6400<\/p>\n

– dup\u0103 ce consolidarea necesar\u0103 a fost efectuat\u0103 \u00een jurul pre\u021bului de $6350, v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au controlat pre\u021bul pentru ultima dat\u0103 \u00een acest sf\u00e2r\u0219it de s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103, cu o \u00eempingere de $245 \u00een sens negativ, p\u00e2n\u0103 la minimul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii; putem spune despre aceste dou\u0103 consolid\u0103ri urmate de sc\u0103deri de ~4% la care am asistat mar\u021bi \u0219i joi, c\u0103 intr\u0103 \u00een alc\u0103tuirea unei forma\u021biuni de pe macro-trend, pe care o vom discuta imediat;<\/p>\n

– odat\u0103 stabilit\u0103 noua zon\u0103 de ofert\u0103 a cump\u0103r\u0103torilor, la $6150, pre\u021bul a continuat s\u0103 consolideze timp de 68 de ore \u00een jurul a $6200, timp \u00een care zona albastr\u0103 din partea de jos a graficului a servit ca rezisten\u021b\u0103 \u00een prima parte, devenind mai apoi suport; tot \u00een timpul acestei consolid\u0103ri putem afirma c\u0103 pre\u021bul a avut parte de mi\u0219c\u0103ri haotice \u00een sus \u0219i \u00een jos, cu o fluctua\u021bie total\u0103 de peste $250, menite s\u0103-i scoat\u0103 pe tradei din pozi\u021biile adoptate (fie short, fie long)<\/p>\n

– dup\u0103 ce \u00een a doua parte a consolid\u0103rii zona albastr\u0103 a oferit suport, respectiv pe parcursul sesiunii de s\u00e2mb\u0103t\u0103, pre\u021bul\u00a0 a afi\u0219at o cre\u0219tere treptat\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 la fostul nivel orizontal de rezisten\u021b\u0103 de la $6400, o mi\u0219care \u00een form\u0103 de curb\u0103 pe care am indicat-o\u00a0 pe grafic<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta \u00een continuare?<\/em><\/p>\n

\n\"btc2\"<\/a>
\nSpuneam mai sus c\u0103 vom reveni asupra patternului \u00een desf\u0103\u0219urare pe trendul macro. Este vorba de un inverse Head& Shoulders care se observ\u0103 cel mai clar pe timeframe-ul folosit \u00een graficul de mai sus: 4 ore. Elementele caracteristice pe care orice H& S ar trebui s\u0103 le afi\u0219eze sunt prezente p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een momentul de fa\u021b\u0103 \u00een forma\u021biunea pe care BTC<\/strong> o afi\u0219eaz\u0103. Acestea sunt:<\/p>\n

– o linie de g\u00e2t (neckline) bine definit\u0103; \u00een cazul nostru – avem una la ~$6850 \u0219i este o zon\u0103 orizontal\u0103<\/p>\n

– volum descendent \u00een um\u0103rul st\u00e2ng – probabil cea mai important\u0103 caracteristic\u0103 \u00eentr-un astfel de pattern<\/p>\n

– explozie de volum la \u00eencheierea um\u0103rului st\u00e2ng \u0219i \u00eenceputul capului – o alt\u0103 caracteristic\u0103 nelipsit\u0103 dintr-un pattern care respect\u0103 cu rigurozitate indicatorii<\/p>\n

– volum redus \u00een um\u0103rul drept<\/p>\n

Not\u0103 1<\/strong><\/em>: \u00eentotdeauna, un H&S este valid numai \u0219i numai dac\u0103 cel mai mare volum este prezent \u00een um\u0103rul st\u00e2ng sau \u00een cap.\u00a0 Niciodat\u0103 \u00een um\u0103rul drept<\/p>\n

Not\u0103 2<\/strong><\/em>: forma\u021biunea \u00een cauz\u0103 NU este completat\u0103 iar indicarea acesteia \u00een comentariul de ast\u0103zi nu \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 va fi dus\u0103 la bun sf\u00e2r\u0219it de c\u0103tre participan\u021bii la pia\u021b\u0103; completarea acesteia ar \u00eensemna o mi\u0219care \u00een sens pozitiv al pre\u021bului p\u00e2n\u0103 la rezisten\u021ba de la ~$6800.<\/p>\n

* Ethereum *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Ethereum<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (2 iulie – 8 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 7.54% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0 deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $452.02 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $486.1, av\u00e2nd maximul la $496.36 \u0219i minimul la $443.1<\/p>\n

\"eth\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Sc\u0103derea suferit\u0103 de Ethereum<\/strong> pe parcursul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute a afi\u0219at urm\u0103toarele elemente \u0219i reac\u021bii ale pre\u021bului:<\/p>\n

– deschiderea sesiunii de luni a marcat formarea din sens superior al unui canal descendent, care a durat 25 de ore \u0219i a\u00a0 avut un spread de $11.2, cu un punct de maxim care coincide cu cel al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u0219i unul de minim la $466<\/p>\n

– acest ultim punct de low a fost dep\u0103\u0219it la doar 2 ore dup\u0103 stabilirea-i, datorit\u0103 impulsului \u00een sens negativ pe care l-au for\u021bat v\u00e2nz\u0103torii; de\u0219i sc\u0103derea nu a avut o velocitate precum cele din s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nile trecute, aceasta a marcat totu\u0219i un procentaj de\u00a0 9% – unul destul de mare; declinul acesta a fost „re\u021binut<\/em>” \u0219i din cauza forma\u021biunii afi\u0219ate \u00eentre cele dou\u0103 impulsuri: fanionul\/ pennantul \u00eencadrat \u00eentre linii albastre pe grafic – consolidarea pre\u021bului \u00een interiorul acestuia a durat 7 ore<\/p>\n

– primul minim stabilit de ETH<\/strong> a fost la $426, urm\u00e2nd ca pre\u021bul s\u0103 adopte din nou un comportament „choppy”, cu cre\u0219teri \u0219i sc\u0103deri bru\u0219te \u00een ambele direc\u021bii; deschiderea zilei respective – miercuri – a avut loc la $432.44, suport pe care ETH a continuat s\u0103-l\u00a0 testeze intens pe parcursul zilelor urm\u0103toare<\/p>\n

– tot \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 de consolidare a fost stabilit\u0103 \u0219i o nou\u0103 rezisten\u021b\u0103, conform \u00eenchiderii aceleia\u0219i zi – este vorba despre $445.15, nivel orizontal pe care pre\u021bul nu l-a testat dec\u00e2t de dou\u0103 ori \u00een afara weekendului; vom vedea \u00eens\u0103 c\u0103 acest nivel joac\u0103 un rol important \u0219i mai t\u00e2rziu, spre sf\u00e2r\u0219itul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii<\/p>\n

– primul nivel de low, stabilit la $424, a fost „\u00een\u021bepat<\/em>” mai t\u00e2rziu, realiz\u00e2nd un altul la $417, mi\u0219care menit\u0103, probabil, s\u0103\u00a0 lichideze pozi\u021biile de long a traderilor care \u0219i-au pus stop loss-ul la $420<\/p>\n

– dup\u0103 peste 110 ore \u0219i formarea unui ultim pennant, ETH s-a bucurat de o cre\u0219tere treptat\u0103, \u00eensum\u00e2nd peste $20; corec\u021bia care a urmat impulsul a transformat fostul nivel de rezisten\u021b\u0103 \u00eentr-unul de suport – lucru foarte favorabil pentru cump\u0103r\u0103tori<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta? <\/em><\/p>\n

Av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 pre\u021bul „a explodat<\/em>” \u00een sus chiar \u00een timp de scriam acest comentariu, cel mai probabil la testarea celor dou\u0103\u00a0 nivele marcate \u00een partea de sus a graficului: $471 fiind primul, iar $486 – al doilea.<\/p>\n

Spor & trade safe
\n-Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto \u2013 Analiza Saptamanii 09-15 iulie- Bitcoin Romania * Bitcoin * Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (9 iulie – 15 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 5.36\u00a0% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0 deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6707.0 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de 6347.2 $, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6820.0 \u0219i minimul la $6079.9 – primele 21 de ore au fost petrecute de BTC \u00eentr-un canal orizontal de consolidare cu volatilitate redus\u0103: pre\u021bul a \u00eenregistrat o fluctua\u021bie de $157 \u00eentre minimul de laRead More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628],"tags":[683,597,116,613,635],"class_list":["post-6790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-pretul-bitcoin","tag-pretul-ethereum"],"yoast_head":"\nJurnalul Crypto - 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