{"id":6749,"date":"2018-07-06T14:09:09","date_gmt":"2018-07-06T14:09:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=6749"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:37:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:37:55","slug":"jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-04-07-05-07-bitcoin-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-04-07-05-07-bitcoin-romania\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto – Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 04.07 – 05.07 – Bitcoin Romania"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto – Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 04.07 – 05.07 – Bitcoin Romania<\/h3>\n

* Bitcoin *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin<\/strong> pentru zilele precedente (miercuri \u0219i joi – 4, 5 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 0.34%, consider\u00e2nd
\npre\u021bul de deschidere al zilei de miercuri de la $6509.3 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de joi de la $6531.3, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6784.9 \u0219i minimul\u00a0la $6414.1<\/p>\n

\"btc\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Pentru Bitcoin<\/strong>, sesiunea de miercuri a \u00eenceput printr-o sc\u0103dere de aproximativ $95, de la $6509 – pre\u021bul de deschidere al zilei, p\u00e2n\u0103 la punctul de minim al acestor 48 de ore: $6414. Tot aici, BTC<\/strong> a afi\u0219at o lum\u0103nare pe care am mai \u00eent\u00e2lnit-o \u0219i \u00een edi\u021biile trecute ale jurnalului crypto: lum\u0103narea de tip „Hammer<\/em>„, semnalat\u0103 cu o s\u0103geat\u0103 ro\u0219ie pe grafic; mi\u0219carea pe care aceasta o preveste\u0219te\u00a0 este una de tip bullish, adic\u0103 favorabil\u0103 cump\u0103r\u0103torilor. Dac\u0103 sc\u0103derea de la deschidere \u0219i p\u00e2n\u0103 la punctul de minim men\u021bionat a\u00a0 realizat un procentaj de 1.45%, cre\u0219terea care a urmat a fost una mult mai mare: dup\u0103 formarea unui canal ascendent cu un spread (zon\u0103 \u00een care pre\u021bul oscileaz\u0103) de aproximativ $58, pe parcursul a 11 ore \u0219i 30 de minute, de la $6414 la $6550, BTC<\/strong> a beneficiat de\u00a0o mi\u0219care major\u0103 \u00een sens pozitiv: $210.4 (3.21%) \u00eentr-o singur\u0103 lum\u0103nare de 15 minute, p\u00e2n\u0103 $6760, urm\u00e2nd ca umbra imediat\u00a0 urm\u0103toare s\u0103 fie cea care a atins \u0219i maximul acestor dou\u0103 zile. Este interesant de observat cum pre\u021bul din canalul ascendent a oscilat \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a acestuia, respect\u00e2nd „cu stricte\u021be<\/em>” cele dou\u0103 nivele care constituie zona verde de confluen\u021b\u0103 – $6509 \u0219i $6532.4, \u00eendeosebi primul pre\u021b – care a adoptat rolul de suport.<\/p>\n

Dup\u0103 cre\u0219terea ante-men\u021bionat\u0103, BTC<\/strong> a suferit un declin de $133.4, respectiv 1.97%, p\u00e2n\u0103 la noul punct de minim de la acest nivel superior, care a marcat, totodat\u0103, \u00eenceputul unui triunghi ascendent cu top orizontal (\u00een englez\u0103 – flat top ascending triangle).\u00a0Patternul, fiind cunoscut pentru semnalul de continuitate pe care \u00eel ofer\u0103, a oferit v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor o nou\u0103 oportunitate de a pune presiune\u00a0 pe pre\u021b, reu\u0219ind s\u0103 \u00eenscrie \u00eenc\u0103 „o victorie<\/em>” de $174.6, p\u00e2n\u0103 pe parcursul a 90 de minute, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een zona de confluen\u021b\u0103, de unde a fost respins imediat, aceasta ac\u021bion\u00e2nd ca un suport puternic la prima testare.<\/p>\n

De la acest punct, BTC<\/strong> a intrat timp de 18 ore \u00eentr-una din cele mai „choppy<\/em>” zone ale ultimelor s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni (\u021bin s\u0103 amintesc: o zon\u0103 „choppy<\/em>” reprezint\u0103 o zon\u0103 \u00een care pre\u021bul nu are o direc\u021bie clar\u0103, ci un mers haotic \u00een sus \u0219i \u00een jos, menit s\u0103 scoad\u0103 traderii din pozi\u021biile adoptate – fie long, fie short). Range-ul total al acestei zone a avut o volatilitate de $179.7 \u00eentre punctul de minim \u0219i cel de maxim (stabilite aici) \u0219i a jonglat \u0219i \u00eentre cele dou\u0103 reziste\u021be: cea de jos, de la $6589.9 – a acestor dou\u0103 zile \u0219i cea de sus, de la $6617.2 – a zilelor precedente, 2 \u0219i 3 iulie. Un lucru pe care \u00eel recomand traderilor care citesc acest blog este s\u0103 nu adopte pozi\u021bii cu levier ridicat \u00een astfel de zone, deoarece ie\u0219irea din acestea este foarte\u00a0 rar una clar\u0103.<\/p>\n

Odat\u0103 terminat\u0103 consolidarea, Bitcoin<\/strong> a avut parte de o scurt\u0103 sc\u0103dere, p\u00e2n\u0103 la primul nivel de acumulare al tensiunii, de la $6570, pre\u021b indicat cu o s\u0103geat\u0103 albastr\u0103 pe grafic, dup\u0103 care a finalizat mi\u0219carea \u00een sens negativ, p\u00e2n\u0103 foarte aproape de ultimul\u00a0 nivel de low, respectiv la $6423.4; deoarece intrarea sub $6450 a oferit lichiditate pentru cump\u0103r\u0103tori, pre\u021bul s-a retras foarte rapid,\u00a0l\u0103s\u00e2nd \u00een urm\u0103 doar un wick (o umbr\u0103) p\u00e2n\u0103 la acel minim. Continuarea retragerii \u00een sens pozitiv a con\u021binut o acumulare de tensiune \u00een jurul $6500, pre\u021b care vom observa c\u0103 a oferit mai t\u00e2rziu suport \u00eenainte de o alt\u0103 mi\u0219care major\u0103.<\/p>\n

Dup\u0103 o consolidare de aproximativ 16 ore \u00een jurul zonei de confluen\u021b\u0103, timp \u00een care BTC a folosit ambele nivele marcate cu negru drept pre\u021buri pivot, at\u00e2t de rezisten\u021b\u0103 la testarea din sens inferior, c\u00e2t \u0219i de suport, la testarea din sens superior, \u00een care a g\u0103sit suport la $6464 prin 4 test\u0103ri pe acest timeframe de 15 minute, pre\u021bul „a \u021b\u00e2\u0219nit” din nou \u00een sus, pentru a retesta rezisten\u021ba.<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta \u00een viitorul apropiat?<\/em><\/p>\n

Sincer s\u0103 fiu, voiam s\u0103 spun c\u0103 ne putem a\u0219tepta la retestarea rezisten\u021bei dar acest lucru s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat p\u00e2n\u0103 s\u0103 termin de\u00a0 scris comentariul. Nicio problem\u0103 – vom face o nou\u0103 analiz\u0103 baz\u00e2ndu-ne pe ac\u021biunea pre\u021bului pe care pia\u021ba a oferit-o: av\u00e2nd \u00een vedere c\u0103 lum\u0103narea de 15 minute a \u00een\u021bepat \u0219i pragul superior de rezisten\u021b\u0103, f\u0103r\u0103 a \u00eenchide totu\u0219i peste, poate semnala o cre\u0219tere menit\u0103 s\u0103 ating\u0103 un num\u0103r de stop loss-uri ale shorterilor. Dup\u0103 aceast\u0103 mi\u0219care cel mai probabil vom avea parte de o nou\u0103 consolidare – nu m\u0103 pot pronun\u021ba asupra duratei acesteia – urm\u00e2nd ca apoi s\u0103 retesteze zona de suport: o am \u00een minte pe cea marcat\u0103 \u00een partea de jos, \u00eentre $6391.5 \u0219i $6349.7. Desigur, cre\u0219terea de care BTC<\/strong> se bucur\u0103 momentan mai poate continua, \u00eens\u0103 m\u0103 \u00eendoiesc c\u0103 o trecere peste $6800 este posibil\u0103 \u00eenainte de o retestare a suportului. Speculez c\u0103 un maxim al acestei cre\u0219tere va fi \u00een jurul pre\u021bului $6680.<\/p>\n

\n* Ethereum *<\/h3>\n

Pentru aceast\u0103 edi\u021bie a Jurnalului Crypto am ales s\u0103 analiz\u0103m \u00eempreun\u0103 paritatea ETH\/USD<\/strong> pe un timeframe mai mare\u00a0 dec\u00e2t cel cu care suntem obi\u0219nui\u021bi p\u00e2n\u0103 acum: 4 ore (4H). Avem \u00een graficul de mai jos ac\u021biunea pre\u021bului din ultimele 24 de zile.<\/p>\n

\"eth\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Primul pre\u021b care mi-a atras aten\u021bia, pe l\u00e2ng\u0103 rezisten\u021ba de la $476.15 \u0219i cele dou\u0103 nivele de suport – de la $430 \u0219i $420, este $486 – pre\u021b cu rol de pivot care a adoptat ambele roluri pe parcursul acestor 3 s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni:<\/p>\n

– prima dat\u0103, cel de rezisten\u021b\u0103, \u00een 14 iunie, imediat dup\u0103 ce ETH<\/strong> a vizitat canalul verde de cerere \u00een care cump\u0103r\u0103torii l-au a\u0219teptat cu oferte de long; mi\u0219carea de aici a fost una foarte volatil\u0103: sc\u0103dere p\u00e2n\u0103 la zona verde, testare a rezisten\u021bei, sc\u0103dere \u00eenapoi \u00een zona verde, urmat\u0103 de o cre\u0219tere accelerat\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 peste $520 – corec\u021bia care a urmat acest impuls a g\u0103sit suport la exact acela\u0219i nivel care anterior a opus rezisten\u021b\u0103; testarea acestuia\u00a0 a durat 3 zile, timp \u00een care lum\u0103n\u0103rile de 3 ore au l\u0103sat o umbr\u0103 sub acest nivel, f\u0103r\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 a avea \u0219i o \u00eenchidere; convin\u0219i c\u0103 transformarea rezisten\u021bei \u00een suport reprezint\u0103 o oportunitate, cump\u0103r\u0103torii au intrat \u00een ac\u021biune, oferind pie\u021bei o nou\u0103 cre\u0219tere de $62.4, respectiv 12.84%, p\u00e2n\u0103 la punctul de maxim \u00een cauz\u0103: $548.8; aici, ETH a format un top dublu (\u00een englez\u0103: double top), pattern cunoscut pentru semnalul de sc\u0103dere pe care-l ofer\u0103; aceasta a fost una de amploare, marc\u00e2nd o sum\u0103 de $128 \u00een favoarea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor, sc\u0103dere \u00een care pre\u021bul pivot a devenit brusc rezisten\u021b\u0103, odat\u0103 cu \u00eenchiderea lum\u0103n\u0103rii de vineri, 22 iunie, ora 11 (diminea\u021ba); un prim nivel de suport l-a oferit canalul verde, \u00eens\u0103 \u0219i acesta a fost doar unul temporar, pre\u021bul nereu\u0219ind s\u0103 treac\u0103 peste rezisten\u021b\u0103 odat\u0103 cu testarea acesteia – dup\u0103 atingerea rezisten\u021bei \u00een cauz\u0103, ETH a testat cele dou\u0103 nivele de suport inferior – cel de la $420 oferind suportul necesar unei cre\u0219teri p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00eenapoi \u00een canalul de cerere (care la momentul respectiv – posibil s\u0103 fi devenit „de ofert\u0103<\/em>„); din acest punct, ETH a\u00a0 consolidat pentru o nou\u0103 sc\u0103dere, ultima din aceast\u0103 perioad\u0103, \u00een care a str\u0103puns ambele linii orizontale de suport, ating\u00e2nd punctul de minim: $405; de men\u021bionat este faptul c\u0103 pragul psihologic de la $400 nu a fost „str\u0103puns<\/em>„<\/p>\n

– tot \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 \u021bin s\u0103 men\u021bionez formarea unei divergen\u021be de tip bullish – una \u00een care pre\u021bul realizeaz\u0103 un nou minim (un lower low) dar indicatorul aferent (Stochastic \u00een cazul nostru) realizeaz\u0103 un minim mai \u00eenalt dec\u00e2t ultimul (higher low); scopul acestor tip de divergen\u021be este acela de a semnala o posibil\u0103 cre\u0219tere traderilor care urm\u0103resc indicatorii<\/p>\n

Not\u0103 1<\/em>: indicatori care ofer\u0103 astfel de semnale sunt Stoch, Stoch RSI, RSI, OBV, MACD \u0219i multe altele; le-am men\u021bionat pe\u00a0 cele mai des \u00eent\u00e2lnite<\/p>\n

Not\u0103 2<\/em>: divergen\u021ba semnalat\u0103 aici este, a\u0219a cum am zis, una bullish – adic\u0103 favorabil\u0103 cump\u0103r\u0103torilor; dac\u0103 vom avea ocazia, voi include \u0219i o divergen\u021b\u0103 aflat\u0103 la pol opus \u00eentr-una din analizele urm\u0103toare – divergen\u021ba bearish<\/p>\n

Not\u0103 3<\/em>: personal – recomand mai mult folosirea liniilor orizontale de suport \u0219i rezisten\u021b\u0103 dec\u00e2t a indicatorilor; desigur, ace\u0219tia din urm\u0103 ofer\u0103 semnale bune de cump\u0103rare sau v\u00e2nzare \u00een anumite cazuri, dar consider c\u0103 sunt u\u0219or „de p\u0103c\u0103lit<\/em>” datorit\u0103 lagului pe\u00a0 care \u00eel au atunci c\u00e2nd pre\u021bul beneficiaz\u0103 de o mi\u0219care mai riguroas\u0103<\/p>\n

Revenind: dup\u0103 cre\u0219terea semnalat\u0103 de aceast\u0103 divergen\u021b\u0103, pre\u021bul a \u00eent\u00e2mpinat din nou rezisten\u021b\u0103 \u00een canalul verde, reu\u0219ind dup\u0103 o consolidare, de aproximativ 2 zile, s\u0103 treac\u0103 peste, p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00eenapoi la pre\u021bul nostru de pivot: $486 – unde a \u00eent\u00e2mpinat o nou\u0103\u00a0 rezisten\u021b\u0103.<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta?<\/em><\/p>\n

V\u0103z\u00e2nd c\u0103 zona verde a redevenit una de suport, cel pu\u021bin temporar, pot spune c\u0103 pia\u021ba se afl\u0103 de partea cump\u0103r\u0103torilor\u00a0 deocamdat\u0103. Un semnal foarte bun de cump\u0103rare ar fi „\u00eenvingerea<\/em>” nivelului $486 \u0219i transformarea cu succes a acestuia \u00een suport.<\/p>\n

Odat\u0103 ce acest lucru se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103, putem avea certitudinea c\u0103 ETH<\/strong> ar \u00eencepe o nou\u0103 cre\u0219tere peste $500.<\/p>\n

Spor & trade safe.
\n-Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto – Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 04.07 – 05.07 – Bitcoin Romania * Bitcoin * Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru zilele precedente (miercuri \u0219i joi – 4, 5 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 0.34%, consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al zilei de miercuri de la $6509.3 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de joi de la $6531.3, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6784.9 \u0219i minimul\u00a0la $6414.1 Pentru Bitcoin, sesiunea de miercuri a \u00eenceput printr-o sc\u0103dere de aproximativ $95, de la $6509 – pre\u021bul de deschidere al zilei,Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628],"tags":[683,597,116,613],"class_list":["post-6749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-pretul-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"\nAnaliza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 04.07 - 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