{"id":6735,"date":"2018-07-02T09:57:19","date_gmt":"2018-07-02T09:57:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=6735"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:37:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:37:55","slug":"jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-25-06-1-07-bitcoin-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-25-06-1-07-bitcoin-romania\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto – Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 25.06 – 1.07 – Bitcoin Romania"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto – analiza s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 25.06 – 1.07 – Bitcoin Romania<\/h3>\n

* Bitcoin *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (25 iunie – 1 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 3.28% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6148.1 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $6349.7, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6545.5 \u0219i minimul la $5780.0<\/p>\n

\"btc1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Dup\u0103 ce nivelul de suport din zona $5800 a fost testat chiar cu o zi \u00eenainte de \u00eenceputul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u00een cauz\u0103, cump\u0103r\u0103torii au \u00eenscris „o victorie<\/em>” de $469, p\u00e2n\u0103 la $6249.1, punctul de maxim al weekendului trecut. De aici \u0219i p\u00e2n\u0103 la linia vertical\u0103 ro\u0219ie, care\u00a0marcheaz\u0103 deschiderea sesiunii de luni, pre\u021bul a oscilat cu o tent\u0103 corectiv\u0103 de 2.18%. \u00cen urm\u0103toarele 12 ore, Bitcoin<\/strong> a consolidat \u00een jurul nivelului $6150, pre\u021b care reprezint\u0103 nivelul superior al canalului de confluen\u021b\u0103 marcat pe grafic, dup\u0103 care a retestat aceea\u0219i linie orizontal\u0103 de rezisten\u021b\u0103 de la $6249.<\/p>\n

V\u0103z\u00e2nd c\u0103 acest nivel a fost respins a doua oar\u0103, v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au profitat de oportunitate\u00a0 pentru a retesta $6073.4 – nivel orizontal care a func\u021bionat ca suport \u0219i pe parcursul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute \u0219i care reprezint\u0103, totodat\u0103, pragul inferior al zonei de confluen\u021b\u0103 de care spuneam. Insist asupra acestui canal orizontal marcat cu ro\u0219u datorit\u0103 importan\u021bei pe care a avut-o \u0219i probabil o va avea \u00een cazul unei retest\u0103ri a suportului.<\/p>\n

Odat\u0103 stabilit intervalul acesta, BTC<\/strong> a beneficiat de o cre\u0219tere de $268.2, respectiv 4.42%, p\u00e2n\u0103 la punctul de maxim al zilei de luni – $6340, nivel de la care lum\u0103n\u0103rile au format un canal paralel descendent (\u00eencadrat \u00eentre linii albastre), cu un spread (interval \u00een care pre\u021bul oscileaz\u0103) de aproximativ $100. \u00centreaga mi\u0219care din acest canal a \u00eenregistrat o volatilitate de $240.5, \u00eentre punctul maxim men\u021bionat anterior \u0219i minimul local de la $6100.5; ie\u0219irea din dreptunghi a fost tot de partea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor, care au \u00eempins pre\u021bul p\u00e2n\u0103 la $6026, primul low stabilit \u00een afara acestei zone de interes. Dup\u0103 o consolidare \u00een jurul $6073, Bitcoin<\/strong> retesteaz\u0103 linia de suport\u00a0 temporar la care a \u00eenchis cu 15 ore mai devreme, realiz\u00e2nd un SFP (Swing Failure Pattern – denumire oferit\u0103 de traderi lum\u0103n\u0103rilor <\/em>
\ncare realizeaz\u0103 un nou punct – de low \u00een cazul de fa\u021b\u0103 – sub suportul stabilit precedent, f\u0103r\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 a avea parte de o \u00eenchidere \u00een\u00a0<\/em>partea inferioar\u0103; lum\u0103narea las\u0103 doar o umbr\u0103 <un wick> \u00een direc\u021bia respectiv\u0103, menit\u0103 s\u0103 ating\u0103 stop loss-urile celor care s-au\u00a0\u00a0<\/em>bazat pe faptul c\u0103 ultimul low \u00ee\u0219i va p\u0103stra func\u021bia<\/em>).<\/p>\n

\u00cen total, BTC<\/strong> a petrecut 44 de ore \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103, av\u00e2nd o diferen\u021b\u0103 de $207.8 \u00eentre punctul de minim \u0219i cel de maxim –\u00a0 ambele afl\u00e2ndu-se \u00een afara canalului. Cu pu\u021bin timp \u00eenainte de mi\u0219carea decisiv\u0103 pe care BTC a avut-o joi seara, pre\u021bul a avut\u00a0 aproximativ 7 ore \u00een care fluc\u021bua\u021bia nu a dep\u0103\u0219it $12 – cel mai adesea, un spread at\u00e2t de redus indic\u0103 o „acumulare de tensiune<\/em>” la\u00a0 nivelul respectiv, care ar putea avea o importan\u021b\u0103 odat\u0103 ce pre\u021bul ajunge din nou la acesta. Totodat\u0103, zonele de tensiune prevestesc o mi\u0219care exploziv\u0103 – exact cum s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat \u0219i \u00een cazul de fa\u021b\u0103: v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au marcat o sc\u0103dere de $286.4, p\u00e2n\u0103 la nivelul inferior de suport al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute: $5850.<\/p>\n

F\u0103r\u0103 a dep\u0103\u0219i extremele de minim stabilite weekendul trecut, BTC<\/strong> a avut parte de o alt\u0103\u00a0 consolidare \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103, pe care am indicat-o \u0219i \u00een blogul precedent<\/a> \u0219i despre care spuneam c\u0103 va oferi suportul necesar. Consolidarea a avut loc pe parcursul a 22 de ore iar mi\u0219carea de dup\u0103 a fost una de propor\u021bii pentru cump\u0103r\u0103tori: o cre\u0219tere de $765.7 (13.25%) \u00eentre punctul de minim \u0219i cel de maxim al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii. \u00cen cre\u0219terea de\u00a0 fa\u021b\u0103, pre\u021bul nu a mai „\u021binut cont<\/em>” nici de zona de confluen\u021b\u0103, nici de nivelele precedente de rezisten\u021b\u0103 – lucru care a indicat o mare determinare din partea cump\u0103r\u0103torilor care au profitate de BTC-ul aflat sub pragul psihologic de $6000.<\/p>\n

Maximul atins de cump\u0103r\u0103tori a fost foarte aproape de $6550 iar respingerea acestuia a reprezentat puncul de plecare al\u00a0 unui alt canal descendent. Rezisten\u021ba stabilit\u0103 odat\u0103 cu \u00eenchiderea zilei de s\u00e2mb\u0103t\u0103 a continuat s\u0103 afi\u0219eze rezisten\u021b\u0103 pe parcursul\u00a0 acestui weekend.<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta \u00een viitorul apropiat?<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00cenainte de a r\u0103spunde acestei \u00eentreb\u0103ri, s\u0103 observ\u0103m ce s-a \u00eent\u00e2mplat pe un timeframe de 1D (Daily) \u00een ultimele 3 zile.<\/p>\n

\"btc2\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Vineri am avut parte de o acaparare de tip bullish (bullish engulfing<\/em>) pe acest timeframe. Acapararea de tip bullish apare atunci c\u00e2nd o lum\u0103nare verde „\u00eenghite<\/em>” complet lum\u0103narea ro\u0219ie pe care o preced\u0103. Situa\u021bia de fa\u021b\u0103 este una care respect\u0103 \u00eentocmai aceast\u0103 forma\u021biune deoarece nu este \u00eencapsulat doar corpul propriu-zis al lum\u0103n\u0103rii, ci \u0219i umbrele (cea superioar\u0103 \u0219i cea inferioar\u0103<\/em>)\u00a0ale acesteia. Semnalul pe care aceast\u0103 acaparare \u00eel ofer\u0103 este unul favorabil cump\u0103r\u0103torilor, de aceea cred c\u0103 Bitcoin<\/strong> s-ar putea bucura de o retestare a rezisten\u021bei din zona $6700 – $6800, dar este foarte probabil ca zona de confluen\u021b\u0103 s\u0103 mai fie testat\u0103 \u00eenc\u0103\u00a0 odat\u0103 – fie \u00eenainte, fie dup\u0103 testarea rezisten\u021bei.<\/p>\n

* Ethereum *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Ethereum<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (25 iunie – 1 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 0.72% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $455.32 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $452.03, av\u00e2nd maximul la $474.42 \u0219i minimul la $404.99<\/p>\n

\"eth\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Foarte asem\u0103n\u0103tor cu Bitcoin<\/strong>, ETH<\/strong> a avut parte de o cre\u0219tere puternic\u0103 din zona de suport \u00eencadrat\u0103 cu ro\u0219u pe grafic.<\/p>\n

Cre\u0219terea de weekendul trecut a \u00eensumat un procentaj de 9.93%, respectiv $41.81 \u00een favoarea cump\u0103r\u0103torilor \u0219i a propulsat pre\u021bul\u00a0 p\u00e2n\u0103 la $461.77, nivelul inferior al canalului care a oferit o rezisten\u021b\u0103 major\u0103 \u00een ultimele 10 zile. De aici \u0219i p\u00e2n\u0103 la deschiderea sesiunii, ETH<\/strong> a avut un comportament „choppy” al pre\u021bului, \u00een care acesta realizeaz\u0103 mi\u0219c\u0103ri haotice \u00een sus \u0219i \u00een jos. Spreadul a fost de $13.33 iar mi\u0219carea a durat 9 ore \u0219i s-a finalizat printr-o sc\u0103dere de 2.16%, p\u00e2n\u0103 la fanionul\/ pennantul \u00eencadrat \u00eentre linii albastre, forma\u021biune care a acumulat o oarecare tensiune la $450. Ie\u0219irea din acest pennant a fost, de asemenea, de partea cump\u0103r\u0103torilor \u0219i a constat \u00een 3 mi\u0219c\u0103ri foarte volatile:<\/p>\n

i) prima<\/em>, de la $450 la $473, pe parcursul a dou\u0103 ore, care a avut rolul de a testa nivelul superior al zonei de rezisten\u021b\u0103
\nii) a doua<\/em>, de la $473 la $453, pe parcursul unei singure ore, care a avut rolul de a retesta fostul nivel de rezisten\u021b\u0103 – devenit suport (cel pu\u021bin local)
\niii) a treia<\/em>, de la $453 \u00eenapoi la $473, care a fost \u0219i ultima atingere a acestei rezisten\u021be din c\u00e2te arat\u0103 graficul;<\/p>\n

Tot din punctul indicat la iii), ETH a format un canal descendent \u00eenceput luni la ora 17 (ora Rom\u00e2niei) \u0219i finalizat miercuri printr-o mi\u0219care hot\u0103r\u00e2t\u0103 \u00een jos. Canalul a avut un spread de aproximativ ~$13 \u0219i a \u00eenregistrat o volatilitate de $55.77 \u00eentre punctul\u00a0 de maxim de la $473.47 \u0219i cel de minim de la $418.65.<\/p>\n

Not\u0103: liniile trasate \u00een interiorul canalului descendent nu reprezint\u0103 o mi\u0219care Elliot Waves. Acestea au doar rolul de a indica seria de lower lows (noi minime) realizate pe parcursul sc\u0103derii.<\/p>\n

Odat\u0103 ajuns \u00een zona de suport dintre $429.32 \u0219i $420.32, pre\u021bul a fost respins de cump\u0103r\u0103tori p\u00e2n\u0103 la $441.65, \u0219i chiar peste, nivel care a avut un rol de suport anterior – devenit acum rezisten\u021b\u0103 local\u0103. ETH<\/strong> a continuat s\u0103 oscileze pe parcursul zilelor de miercuri \u0219i joi \u00eentre zona de suport \u0219i nivelul de rezisten\u021b\u0103 p\u00e2n\u0103 joi seara, c\u00e2nd pre\u021bul a acumulat o tensiune urm\u00e2nd ca mi\u0219carea decisiv\u0103 care urmeaz\u0103 de obicei dup\u0103 – s\u0103 fie \u00een jos: o alt\u0103 sc\u0103dere de $34.53, p\u00e2n\u0103 la $405, punctul de minim al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii, aflat sub canalul de\u00a0 suport. Comportamentul pre\u021bului din aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 inferioar\u0103 a avut, de asemenea, un ritm indecis, haotic, cu sc\u0103deri \u0219i cre\u0219teri\u00a0constante de peste 2%.<\/p>\n

Realizarea a 3 mici triunghiuri \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 a condus la acumularea de tensiune necesar\u0103 unei alte mi\u0219c\u0103ri
\ndecisive, doar c\u0103 aceasta a fost de partea cump\u0103r\u0103torilor: la fel ca \u0219i pe BTC<\/strong>, ace\u0219tia au \u00eenscris o victorie de 13.81%, respectiv $56.38\u00a0 \u00eentre minim \u0219i maximul de la $464.52, pre\u021b care „a \u00een\u021bepat” zona re rezisten\u021b\u0103, f\u0103r\u0103 a reu\u0219i \u00eens\u0103 s\u0103 \u00eenchid\u0103 \u00een sau peste aceasta.<\/p>\n

Respingerea a condus la o continuare a consolid\u0103rii \u00een jurul fostei rezisten\u021be, unde pre\u021bul acumuleaz\u0103 \u0219i de aceast\u0103 dat\u0103\u00a0 tensiune. Se pare c\u0103 rezisten\u021ba de miercuri \u0219i joi a oferit pe parcursul weekendului un suport pentru ETH<\/strong>. Acest lucru e benefic\u00a0cump\u0103r\u0103torilor, at\u00e2ta timp c\u00e2t continu\u0103 s\u0103 transforme fostele nivele de rezisten\u021b\u0103 \u00een nivele de suport, f\u0103r\u0103 a fi invalidate.<\/p>\n

Spor & trade safe.
\n-Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto – analiza s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 25.06 – 1.07 – Bitcoin Romania * Bitcoin * Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (25 iunie – 1 iulie) a \u00eenregistrat o cre\u0219tere de 3.28% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6148.1 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $6349.7, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6545.5 \u0219i minimul la $5780.0 Dup\u0103 ce nivelul de suport din zona $5800 a fost testat chiar cu o zi \u00eenainte de \u00eenceputul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u00een cauz\u0103, cump\u0103r\u0103torii au \u00eenscris „o victorie” de $469, p\u00e2n\u0103Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628],"tags":[636,683,597,116,613],"class_list":["post-6735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","tag-analiza-bitcoin-pret","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-pretul-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"\nJurnalul Crypto - 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