{"id":6703,"date":"2018-06-25T13:50:38","date_gmt":"2018-06-25T13:50:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=6703"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:37:55","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:37:55","slug":"jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-18-06-24-06-bitcoin-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-18-06-24-06-bitcoin-romania\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto – Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 18.06 – 24.06 – Bitcoin Romania"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto – analiza s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 18.06 – 24.06 – Bitcoin Romania<\/h3>\n

* Bitcoin *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (18 – 24 iunie) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 4.58% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0 deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6443.0 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $6148.0, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6849.7 \u0219i minimul la $5755.0<\/p>\n

\"btc1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Sesiunea s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute a \u00eenceput prin formarea unui canal de consolidare deasupra suportului stabilit pe Daily, la data respectiv\u0103. Canalul acesta (marcat pe grafic cu ro\u0219u, \u00een partea st\u00e2ng\u0103) a \u00eenregistrat o volatilitate de 2.09% sau $132.8, consider\u00e2nd\u00a0 diferen\u021ba \u00eentre punctul de maxim ($6500) \u0219i cel de minim (linia de suport – $6386). Odat\u0103 ce BTC<\/strong> a terminat consolidarea \u00een cauz\u0103,\u00a0 cump\u0103r\u0103torii au fost cei care au c\u00e2\u0219tigat \u00een ziua respectiv\u0103, marc\u00e2nd o cre\u0219tere considerabil\u0103 de $463.2 (7.25%), p\u00e2n\u0103 aproape de\u00a0 rezisten\u021b\u0103 zilelor precedente.<\/p>\n

Ajuns aici, Bitcoin<\/strong> a avut parte de o alt\u0103 consolidare, cea mai lung\u0103, de altfel, a acestei s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni: peste 87 de ore, timp \u00een care \u0219i-a stabilit anumite nivele prin testarea repetat\u0103 a acestora: -primul nivel \u00een cauz\u0103, cel de rezisten\u021b\u0103<\/strong><\/em>, este $6752, pre\u021b care a respins cre\u0219terea dorit\u0103 de cump\u0103r\u0103tori de cele mai multe ori \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103; totodat\u0103, acest pre\u021b a ac\u021bionat \u0219i ca suport \u00een rarele ocazii \u00een care BTC<\/strong> a trecut peste; un volum neconving\u0103tor, o nehot\u0103r\u00e2re din partea cump\u0103r\u0103torilor \u0219i controlul pe care v\u00e2nz\u0103torii l-au avut la acest nivel au fost factorii care au contribuit la\u00a0 sl\u0103biciunea afi\u0219at\u0103 de pre\u021b peste acest nivel;<\/p>\n

-al doilea nivel, „Rezisten\u021b\u0103 D 2<\/em><\/strong>” – la $6633.7 -: de\u0219i pe grafic acest nivel este marcat ca fiind rezisten\u021b\u0103, datorit\u0103 \u00eenchiderii de pe Daily (care nu se poate observa pe acest timeframe de 30 de minute<\/em>), $6633.7 a avut un prim rol de suport imediat dup\u0103\u00a0 cre\u0219terea zilei de luni; aceast\u0103 scurt\u0103 atingere (pe care am indicat-o cu o s\u0103geat\u0103 neagr\u0103) a avut un rol important \u00een stabilirea rezisten\u021bei impuse de v\u00e2nz\u0103tori odat\u0103 ce pre\u021bul a intrat sub, \u00een cea de-a doua consolidare – marcat\u0103 tot cu un dreptunghi ro\u0219u;<\/p>\n

Fac o scurt\u0103 pauz\u0103 pentru a r\u0103spunde unei posibile \u00eentreb\u0103ri: „o consolidare \u00eentr-o alt\u0103 consolidare?<\/em><\/strong><\/a>” – pe c\u00e2t de ciudat\u00a0 sun\u0103, acest lucru nu este deloc anormal; motivul principal al acestei mi\u0219c\u0103ri pe care BTC<\/strong> a efectuat-o (am marcat-o cu dou\u0103 s\u0103ge\u021bi albastre pentru o urm\u0103rire mai u\u0219oar\u0103<\/em>) este lichidarea celor care fac day-trading cu un levier ridicat, adic\u0103 cei a c\u0103ror pozi\u021bie (de long \u00een cazul de fa\u021b\u0103) ar putea fi afectat\u0103 de o sc\u0103dere de ~$200 -al treilea nivel, \u0219i ultimul din aceast\u0103 zon\u0103, este suportul stabilit, cu o s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 \u00eenainte, la $6550; deoarece acest nivel a avut un rol de pivot pe parcursul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u00een cauz\u0103, exist\u0103 o posibilitate ca acesta s\u0103 opun\u0103 rezisten\u021b\u0103 la urm\u0103toarea ascensiune pe care Bitcoin<\/strong> o va afi\u0219a Ok.<\/p>\n

Odat\u0103 stabilite aceste 3 nivele ale celei mai lungi consolid\u0103ri ale s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii, s\u0103 trecem mai departe: vineri, \u00een jurul
\ndimine\u021bii, v\u00e2nz\u0103torii s-au impus din nou, de data aceasta cu o velocitate ridicat\u0103, reu\u0219ind s\u0103 \u00eenregistreze cea mai mare sc\u0103dere a\u00a0ultimelor zile: $758.8, respectiv 11.37%, pe parcursul a 15 ore. Sc\u0103derea a fost una traptat\u0103, care a con\u021binut trei redistribu\u021bii p\u00e2n\u0103 s\u0103\u00a0se termine. De observat reac\u021biile pre\u021bului la nivelele marcate „Suport D 1<\/em><\/strong>” \u0219i „Suport D 2<\/em><\/strong>„: dac\u0103 la prima \u00eencercare de a dep\u0103\u0219i acest\u00a0 prim nivel BTC<\/strong> a g\u0103sit un oarecare suport, la a doua a trecut sub f\u0103r\u0103 efort, fiind urmat de o retestare cu succes care a confirmat\u00a0transformarea suportului \u00een rezisten\u021b\u0103. Spre deosebire de primul, al doilea suport nici n-a mai fost retestat: la acest nivel, v\u00e2nz\u0103torii s-au aflat \u00een deplin control al pre\u021bului.<\/p>\n

A urmat o consolidare scurt\u0103 \u00een jurul nivelului „Rezisten\u021b\u0103 D 3<\/em><\/strong>„, o cre\u0219tere mic\u0103 a pre\u021bului, menit\u0103 probabil s\u0103 ating\u0103 stop loss-urile celor afli\u021bi \u00eentr-o pozi\u021bie de short, \u0219i ultima sc\u0103dere care \u0219i-a g\u0103sit minimul la $5910, nivel care a st\u00e2rnit interesul cump\u0103r\u0103torilor.<\/p>\n

Odat\u0103 \u00eenregistrate aceste elemente, BTC<\/strong> a avut parte de \u00eenc\u0103 o consolidare de aproximativ 28 de ore, \u00eentre $6012 \u0219i $6259. Acest ultim pre\u021b a reprezentat o oportunitate pentru v\u00e2nz\u0103tori, deoarece, dup\u0103 aceast\u0103 cre\u0219tere care a urmat consolidarea, BTC<\/strong> a afi\u0219at ultima\u00a0sc\u0103dere a s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, p\u00e2n\u0103 la minimul acesteia: $5755. Ajuns aici, Bitcoin s-a bucurat de o cre\u0219tere considerabil\u0103 pentru prima dat\u0103 dup\u0103 6 zile: $495.6 (8.61%) \u00een 90 de minute, cre\u0219tere care a \u00eempins pre\u021bul \u00eenapoi \u00een canalul de rezisten\u021b\u0103 pe care \u00eel vom discuta \u00een rubrica de mai jos. La momentul scrierii acestui articol, Bitcoin<\/strong> continu\u0103 s\u0103 consolideze \u00een jurul rezisten\u021bei de la $6150-$6200.<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta \u00een viitorul apropiat?<\/em><\/p>\n

\"btc2\"<\/a><\/p>\n

S\u0103 lu\u0103m ambele scenarii \u0219i s\u0103 le discut\u0103m \u00eempreun\u0103:<\/p>\n

i) Cazul 1<\/strong><\/em>: cazul acesta mi se pare mai probabil deoarece implic\u0103 retestarea zonei \u00een care cump\u0103r\u0103torii au prezentat
\ncel mai ridicat interes. \u00cen analiza posibilit\u0103\u021bilor trebuie s\u0103 \u021binem cont \u00een primul r\u00e2nd de trendul \u00een care ne afl\u0103m: deocamdat\u0103 suntem \u00eentr-un trend bearish, adic\u0103 un trend \u00een care v\u00e2nz\u0103torii se afl\u0103 \u00een control. Un astfel de trend implic\u0103 consolid\u0103ri „lungi \u0219i plictisitoare<\/em>” \u0219i tinde c\u0103tre un num\u0103r mai mare de atingeri ale suportului dec\u00e2t ale rezisten\u021bei.<\/p>\n

\u00cen acela\u0219i timp, \u00een cazul de fa\u021b\u0103, putem spune c\u0103 Bitcoin ar forma un invers Head& Shoulders (cu umerii la ~$5900 \u0219i capul\u00a0~$5800), pattern cunoscut pentru posibila \u00eencheiere a trendului, cel pu\u021bin local. Nu m-a\u0219 gr\u0103bi s\u0103 spun c\u0103 sc\u0103derea \u00een care ne afl\u0103m\u00a0 de 6 luni s-a terminat, \u00eens\u0103 cred c\u0103 putem afirma acest lucru pentru urm\u0103toarele dou\u0103 zile.<\/p>\n

ii) Cazul 2<\/strong><\/em>: acest caz favorizeaz\u0103 cump\u0103r\u0103torii \u0219i nu implic\u0103 retestarea suportului la nivelul inferior, ci transformarea rezisten\u021bei curente \u00een suport (o cre\u0219tere de la pre\u021bul curent p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een zona ~$6400, urmat\u0103 de o retragere \u00een canalul marcat cu albastru). Putem, desigur,\u00a0lua acest caz \u00een calcul, dar mi se pare mai improbabil, deoarece sentimentul dominant pe pia\u021ba crypto este, din p\u0103cate, incertitudinea.<\/p>\n

Not\u0103: niciunul din aceste cazuri nu reprezint\u0103 un sfat financiar, acestea au un caracter pur speculativ fa\u021b\u0103 de posibila\u00a0\u00a0<\/em>evolu\u021bie a pre\u021bului.<\/em><\/p>\n

* Ethereum *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Ethereum<\/strong> pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (18 – 24 iunie) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 8.39% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0 deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $497.00 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $455.32, av\u00e2nd maximul la $548.80 \u0219i minimul la $421.00<\/p>\n

\"eth1\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Ethereum<\/strong> a avut un \u00eenceput de s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een care a format un canal u\u0219or ascendent, av\u00e2ndu-\u0219i maximul la $499.14 \u0219i minimul la $486.96. \u00centr-un mod similar cu BTC<\/strong>, consolidarea a durat 16 ore \u0219i a fost succedat\u0103 de o explozie \u00een sens pozitiv, fiind \u00eenso\u021bit\u0103 de\u00a0 un volum bun de cump\u0103rare, p\u00e2n\u0103 la prima rezisten\u021b\u0103 (de jos \u00een sus): Rezisten\u021ba D 2 de la $526.11. Respingerea pe care ETH<\/strong> a avut-o la acest nivel a fost urmat\u0103 de o alt\u0103 consolidare cu volatilitate \u0219i volum redus, \u00een jurul $517, pre\u021b care a avut un rol de pivot pe parcursul „jongl\u0103rii<\/em>” din aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 superioar\u0103.<\/p>\n

Aceea\u0219i durat\u0103 de consolidare a avut-o \u0219i cel de-al doilea dreptunghi ro\u0219u: 16 ore, care a fost urmat tot de o cre\u0219tere: $32 de aceast\u0103 dat\u0103, respectiv 6.19%, ating\u00e2nd punctul de maxim al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii \u0219i rezisten\u021ba de la cel mai\u00a0 superior nivel – $538.47 -, pre\u021b care a marcat \u0219i nivelul de \u00eenchidere al zilei de mar\u021bi.<\/p>\n

Aici Ethereum<\/strong> a afi\u0219at o consolidare prelungit\u0103 \u00eentre rezisten\u021ba \u00een cauz\u0103 \u0219i $517, pre\u021bul pivot despre care vorbeam adineauri. Aceasta a durat nu mai pu\u021bin de 85 de ore \u0219i a num\u0103rat\u00a0 peste 10 atingeri ale pragului superior de rezisten\u021b\u0103, reu\u0219ind joi s\u0103 treac\u0103 peste, pentru de 6 ore, timp \u00een care $538.47 a devenit pentru o scurt\u0103 perioad\u0103 suport. Dup\u0103 cum spuneam \u0219i \u00een edi\u021biile trecute ale Jurnalului Crypto<\/strong>, dep\u0103\u0219irea liniilor orizontale de suport sau\u00a0 rezisten\u021b\u0103 duc, cel mai adesea, la transformarea acestora \u00een cea cu rolul opus (suport -> rezisten\u021b\u0103 sau rezisten\u021b\u0103 -> suport), mai ales atunci c\u00e2nd sunt retestate imediat dup\u0103.<\/p>\n

Vineri, spre finalul consolid\u0103rii de la acest nivel, ETH<\/strong> a acumulat o oarecare tensiune \u00een jurul pre\u021bului $526.11 (care ini\u021bial a opus rezisten\u021b\u0103<\/em>), pentru ca mai apoi v\u00e2nz\u0103torii s\u0103 ob\u021bin\u0103 din nou control asupra pie\u021bei \u0219i s\u0103 marcheze o sc\u0103dere de $77.32 (14.69%) – la fel ca \u0219i pe Bitcoin<\/strong> la data respectiv\u0103, cea mai mare din ultimele zile. Asem\u0103n\u0103tor cu ce scriam \u00een rubrica de mai sus, destinat\u0103 BTC<\/strong>-ului, sc\u0103derea afi\u0219at\u0103 de Ethereum<\/strong> a afi\u0219at consolid\u0103ri pe parcurs, nefiind una direct\u0103 \u0219i hot\u0103r\u00e2t\u0103.<\/p>\n

Pre\u021bul a consolidat pu\u021bin \u00een jurul $473.48, nivel care a fost, totodat\u0103, \u0219i rezisten\u021ba zilelor din weekend – s\u00e2mb\u0103t\u0103 \u0219i duminic\u0103. Foarte aproape de acest nivel s-au aflat \u0219i celelalte dou\u0103 suporturi – Suport D 1<\/strong><\/em> \u0219i Suport D 2<\/strong> <\/em>– ambele reprezent\u00e2nd pre\u021buri de \u00eenchidere pe timeframe-ul Daily. Observ\u0103m cum ETH<\/strong> a consolidat \u00eentre aceste linii orizontale cu atingeri de la suport la rezisten\u021b\u0103 \u0219i invers.<\/p>\n

Consolidarea din weekend a \u00eenregistrat fluctua\u021bii de pre\u021b de $31.78 (7.08%) \u00eentre minimul de la $448.85 \u0219i $480.63, pre\u021b atins, la fel cum am precizat \u0219i mai sus, pentru a activa un num\u0103r de stop loss-uri ale v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor.<\/p>\n

Dup\u0103 ultima atingere a acestui nivel, ETH a marcat ultima sc\u0103dere de pe parcursul s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute, una de aproape $60, p\u00e2n\u0103 aproape de $420, pre\u021b care a avut rol de rezisten\u021b\u0103 anul trecut, \u00een prima ascensiune afi\u0219at\u0103 de Ethereum<\/strong> pe parcursul verii. Acest lucru indic\u0103, f\u0103r\u0103 dubii, o situa\u021bie favorabil\u0103 cump\u0103r\u0103torilor, deoarece este vorba de un timeframe mult mai mare dec\u00e2t cel \u00een cauz\u0103: Daily \u0219i chiar Weekly. La momentul scrierii acestui comentariu ETH<\/strong> continu\u0103 s\u0103 consolideze \u00eentre cele dou\u0103 linii orizontale de suport ($461 \u0219i $455), dup\u0103 o scurt\u0103 atingere a pragului superior derezisten\u021b\u0103 de la $473.<\/p>\n

Ce urmeaz\u0103?<\/em><\/p>\n

\u00centr-un mod similar cu Bitcoin<\/strong>, paritatea ETH \/ USD ar mai putea ob\u021bine o atingere a zonei $450, pre\u021b care reprezint\u0103 o\u00a0 oportunitate pentru cump\u0103r\u0103tori. Dup\u0103 consolidarea pe care cel mai probabil o va avea pe parcursul zilei de ast\u0103zi sau m\u00e2ine, zona de la nivelul superior – $473 <-> $480 – este urm\u0103toarea \u021bint\u0103.<\/p>\n

S\u0103 vedem cum evolueaz\u0103 pre\u021bul \u0219i s\u0103 ne g\u0103sim cu bine \u00een urm\u0103toarea edi\u021bie a Jurnalului Crypto.<\/p>\n

Spor & trade safe.
\n-Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto – analiza s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 18.06 – 24.06 – Bitcoin Romania * Bitcoin * Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na precedent\u0103 (18 – 24 iunie) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 4.58% consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de\u00a0 deschidere al s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii de $6443.0 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de $6148.0, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6849.7 \u0219i minimul la $5755.0 Sesiunea s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii trecute a \u00eenceput prin formarea unui canal de consolidare deasupra suportului stabilit pe Daily, la data respectiv\u0103. Canalul acesta (marcat pe grafic cu ro\u0219u, \u00een partea st\u00e2ng\u0103)Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628],"tags":[683,597,116,613],"class_list":["post-6703","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-pretul-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"\nAnaliza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 18.06 - 24.06 - Bitcoin Romania<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 18.06 - 24.06 - Bitcoin Romania - oferita de primul si cel mai mare exchange crypto din Romania - Bitcoin Romania\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-saptamanii-18-06-24-06-bitcoin-romania\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ro_RO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analiza S\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2nii 18.06 - 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