{"id":6629,"date":"2018-06-13T11:21:51","date_gmt":"2018-06-13T11:21:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/?p=6629"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:37:56","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:37:56","slug":"jurnalul-crypto-analiza-zilelor-11-12-iunie-bitcoin-romania","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/jurnalul-crypto-analiza-zilelor-11-12-iunie-bitcoin-romania\/","title":{"rendered":"Jurnalul Crypto – Analiza Zilelor 11-12 iunie – Bitcoin Romania"},"content":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto – Analiza Zilelor 11-12 iunie – Bitcoin Romania<\/h3>\n

* Bitcoin *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin<\/strong> pentru zilele precedente (luni \u0219i mar\u021bi – 11, 12 iunie) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 4.79%, consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al zilei de luni de la $6757.9 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de mar\u021bi de la $6543.9, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6899.0 \u0219i minimul la $6436.1<\/p>\n

\"btc\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Dup\u0103 ce duminic\u0103 Bitcoin<\/strong> a consolidat timp de peste 16 ore \u00eentr-un canal paralel, format \u00een jurul pre\u021bului pivot de $7265.2, care \u00een prima faz\u0103 a jucat rol de suport, pentru ca mai apoi s\u0103 confirme o retestare cu succes a rezisten\u021bei, v\u00e2nz\u0103torii s-au impus cu cel mai violent volum de v\u00e2nzare \u00eenregistrat de la zona de bottom din aprilie. Sc\u0103derea a fost „scurt\u0103 \u0219i la obiect”: de la acest pre\u021b pivot \u0219i p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een apropierea suportului din 6, 7 aprilie, Bitcoin s-a devalorizat fa\u021b\u0103 de dolarul american cu 8.66% \u00eentr-o or\u0103.<\/p>\n

De\u0219i a urmat o nou\u0103 consolidare de 49 de ore (pu\u021bin peste 2 zile), pre\u021bul de \u00eenchidere al celor dou\u0103 zile \u00een cauz\u0103 nu a fost atins. La acest nivel un alt pre\u021b pivot a fost stabilit de c\u0103tre pia\u021b\u0103: $6757.5, acesta juc\u00e2nd un rol diferit fa\u021b\u0103 de cel\u0103lalt amintit mai sus: prima dat\u0103 rezisten\u021b\u0103, pe parcursul zilei de luni, mai apoi rezisten\u021b\u0103 – \u00een prima jum\u0103tate a sesiunii de mar\u021bi. De observat este faptul c\u0103 \u00een aceast\u0103 fluctua\u021bie cu volum redus suportul aflat la pragul superior (cel de la $6946.6) nu a mai ac\u021bionat ca rezisten\u021b\u0103 pentru c\u0103 nici m\u0103car nu a mai fost testat – lucru care a indicat o mare vulnerabilitate din partea cump\u0103r\u0103torilor.<\/p>\n

Cu o ultim\u0103 retestare a liniei albastre, BTC<\/strong> a format \u00eenc\u0103 o lum\u0103nare ro\u0219ie cu o dimeniune a corpului mai ridicat\u0103, volumul de v\u00e2nzare fiind mai redus dec\u00e2t la sc\u0103derea precedent\u0103. Spre deosebire de ultima consolidare, BTC<\/strong> nu a ezitat s\u0103 testeze nivelul orizontal de suport de la $6610.0 – devenit (cel pu\u021bin p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een acest moment) rezisten\u021b\u0103.<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta \u00een viitorul apropiat?<\/em><\/p>\n

Faptul c\u0103 linia orizontal\u0103 de suport a devenit rezisten\u021b\u0103 nu indic\u0103 un lucru bun pentru cump\u0103r\u0103tori. Totodat\u0103, putem observa c\u0103 punctul de minim din 1 aprilie – cel de la $6425.1 – nu a fost testat. \u021ain s\u0103 precizez un lucru: dat fiind faptul c\u0103 majoritatea stop loss-urilor se afl\u0103 imediat sub acest nivel, exist\u0103 posibilitatea ca pre\u021bul s\u0103 le atace pentru a creea lichiditate. Un alt indicator pe care cump\u0103r\u0103torii ar trebui s\u0103-l urm\u0103reasc\u0103 pentru o confirmare de \u00eentoarcere a trendului este volumul de cump\u0103rare (care \u00eenc\u0103 nu este de g\u0103sit).<\/p>\n

* Ethereum *<\/h3>\n

Evolu\u021bia Ethereum<\/strong> pentru zilele precedente (luni \u0219i mar\u021bi – 11, 12 iunie) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 6.88%, consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al zilei de luni de la $523.55 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de mar\u021bi de la $494.25, av\u00e2nd maximul la $544.25 \u0219i minimul la $483.29<\/p>\n

\"eth\"<\/a><\/p>\n

\u00centr-un mod similar cu ce s-a v\u0103zut pe graficul BTC<\/strong>, Ethereum<\/strong> \u0219i-a stabilit un pre\u021b de pivot pe parcursul zilei de duminic\u0103, acesta fiind la $570.72; dup\u0103 ce \u00een primele 7 ore linia orizontal\u0103 a jucat rol de suport, retestarea ei din pragul inferior al pre\u021bului \u0219i confirmarea c\u0103 aceasta a devenit rezisten\u021b\u0103, a condus la o sc\u0103dere de aproape 13%, respectiv ~ $73.<\/p>\n

Primul „val” al acestei sc\u0103deri a fost constituit din 3 p\u0103r\u021bi:<\/p>\n

1) o sc\u0103dere de ~ $45 cu volum ascendent – lucru care indic\u0103 determinare din partea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor<\/p>\n

2) o scurt\u0103 faz\u0103 corectiv\u0103 pe parcursul a 2 ore, timp \u00een care pre\u021bul s-a bucurat de o cre\u0219tere de 2.54%<\/p>\n

3) o a doua sc\u0103dere care a marcat nu mai pu\u021bin de $41.12 \u00een favoarea v\u00e2nz\u0103torilor<\/p>\n

De observat este volumul ridicat de cump\u0103rare cu care pre\u021bul a fost respins \u0219i reac\u021bia acestuia la liniile orizontale de suport ale zilelor 15-18 aprilie \u0219i 28-29 mai, primul ac\u021bion\u00e2nd mult mai puternic dec\u00e2t al doilea.<\/p>\n

Dup\u0103 aceast\u0103 respingere, ETH<\/strong> a format un canal orizontal de consolidare cu suport la $511.98 \u0219i cu rezisten\u021b\u0103 la $534.82, pre\u021b pe care l-a testat de mai multe ori, f\u0103r\u0103 a reu\u0219i \u00eens\u0103 s\u0103-l dep\u0103\u0219easc\u0103 cu succes. Ethereum<\/strong> a continuat s\u0103 consolideze \u00een acest canal p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een a doua jum\u0103tate a sesiunii de mar\u021bi, c\u00e2nd v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au pus din nou presiune pe pia\u021b\u0103, f\u0103c\u00e2nd pre\u021bul s\u0103 nu mai \u021bin\u0103 cont de cele 2 linii orizontale de suport datorit\u0103 unei \u00eenchideri hot\u0103r\u00e2te pe timeframeurile destinate analizei intra day (15, 60 \u0219i chiar 240 de minute).<\/p>\n

Ce urmeaz\u0103?<\/em><\/p>\n

Un lucru asupra c\u0103ruia am atras aten\u021bia s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2na trecut\u0103 a fost faptul c\u0103 volumul de cump\u0103rare lipsea. Din fericire pentru cump\u0103r\u0103tori, acesta a ap\u0103rut pe grafice, fapt care indic\u0103 un interes mai ridicat dec\u00e2t \u00een zilele trecute.
\n\u021ain s\u0103 repet: performan\u021ba ETH\/USD<\/strong> conteaz\u0103 foarte mult \u0219i este \u00een str\u00e2ns\u0103 leg\u0103tur\u0103 cu performan\u021ba BTC\/USD<\/strong>, dar v\u0103z\u00e2nd c\u0103 volumul de cump\u0103rare este mai mare pe aceast\u0103 moned\u0103, putem spune c\u0103 e un \u00eenceput bun. Un lucru pe care cump\u0103r\u0103torii nu \u0219i-ar dori s\u0103-l vad\u0103 este transformarea liniilor de suport (mai ales al celei inferioare, de la $503.13) \u00een rezisten\u021be, linii care cel mai probabil vor fi testate \u00een viitorul apropiat.<\/p>\n

* Ripple *<\/h3>\n

\u00cen aceast\u0103 edi\u021bie a Jurnalului Crypto vom face \u00eempreun\u0103 o actualizare a graficului XRP\/BTC<\/strong>, paritate pe care am discutat-o \u00eentr-unul din comentariile trecute<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"xrp\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Motivul principal pentru care am ales s\u0103 fac acest update este pentru a exemplifica importan\u021ba liniilor orizontale \u0219i cum „ne putem baza<\/em>” pe acestea mult mai u\u0219or dec\u00e2t pe liniile oblice „de trend<\/em>„.<\/p>\n

Dac\u0103 \u00een comentariul precedent nivelul orizontal de la 8750 satoshi a func\u021bionat pe post de suport, de aceast\u0103 dat\u0103 putem observa constr\u00e2ngerea pe care pre\u021bul a avut-o aici (forma\u021biune \u00eencercuit\u0103 pe grafic) \u00eenainte de a forma o serie de lum\u0103n\u0103ri ro\u0219ii. Un prim salt pe care Ripple<\/strong> l-a f\u0103cut a fost la nivelul 8482 satoshi, pre\u021b pivot care \u00een 17 mai a jucat rol de rezisten\u021b\u0103. Acesta a fost, totodat\u0103, \u0219i punctul din care XRP<\/strong> s-a \u00eentors pentru a retesta cu succes nivelul superior de rezisten\u021b\u0103.<\/p>\n

Dup\u0103 confirmare, v\u00e2nz\u0103torii au afi\u0219at un „sell-off” de intensitate ridicat\u0103, pre\u021bul ajung\u00e2nd s\u0103 testeze cel\u0103lalt nivel orizontal – care ini\u021bial era rezisten\u021b\u0103. Despre asta e vorba la urma urmei c\u00e2nd liniile orizontale intr\u0103 \u00een discu\u021bie: transformarea lor din rezisten\u021b\u0103 \u00een suport \u0219i vice-versa.<\/p>\n

Mi\u0219carea pe care Ripple<\/strong> a afi\u0219at-o \u00een continuare este popular denumit\u0103 „the chop<\/em>„: zon\u0103 \u00een care pre\u021bul merge haotic \u00een sus \u0219i \u00een jos pentru „a scutura<\/em>” traderii din afara pozi\u021biilor \u00een care se afl\u0103; nivelul superior de rezisten\u021b\u0103 nu a mai fost atins iar pre\u021bul pivot nu a mai \u021binut ca suport.<\/p>\n

La momentul scrierii acestui comentariu pre\u021bul la Ripple<\/strong> fa\u021b\u0103 de Bitcoin<\/strong> se afl\u0103 sub fostul nivel major de rezisten\u021b\u0103, un nivel care r\u0103m\u00e2ne \u00een continuare demn de urm\u0103rit.<\/p>\n

* Ontology *<\/h3>\n

Am inclus Ontology<\/strong> pentru analiza acestei edi\u021bii datorit\u0103 popularit\u0103\u021bii crescute de care aceast\u0103 moned\u0103 a dat dovad\u0103 de c\u00e2nd a ap\u0103rut.<\/p>\n

\"ont\"<\/a><\/p>\n

S\u0103 \u00eencepem cu \u00eenceputul \u0219i s\u0103 analiz\u0103m comportamentul graficului de la st\u00e2nga la dreapta (o mic\u0103 observa\u021bie: \u00een stabilirea liniilor orizontale de suport\/ rezisten\u021b\u0103 – acestea se pun \u00een func\u021bie de reac\u021biile pre\u021bului de la DREAPTA la ST\u00c2NGA).<\/p>\n

Cu un fanion (pennant) format pe parcursul a aproape o s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2n\u0103 \u0219i cu volum foarte ridicat de cump\u0103rare, putem afirma c\u0103 acesta a fost startul „run-ului<\/em>” pe care ONT<\/strong> l-a avut. Ie\u0219irea din acest pennant a marcat o cre\u0219tere de peste ~133%. Pe parcursul cre\u0219terii cump\u0103r\u0103torii au afi\u0219at determinarea „s\u0103n\u0103toas\u0103<\/em>” de care o moned\u0103 are nevoie pentru a avea o ascensiune sustenabil\u0103.<\/p>\n

Continuarea acestei explozii de propor\u021bii a fost un „falling wedge<\/em>” \u00eenso\u021bit de un volum corespunz\u0103tor acestui pattern: unul descresc\u0103tor. F W-ul a avut, totodat\u0103, \u0219i o natur\u0103 corectiv\u0103, pre\u021bul suferind o sc\u0103dere de 37.43%, respectiv de la 0.000694 BTC<\/strong> p\u00e2n\u0103 la 0.000434 BTC<\/strong>. Continuarea pe care forma\u021biunea \u00een cauz\u0103 \u00eel preveste\u0219te a avut loc \u0219i aici: continuarea ascensiunii. Odat\u0103 ie\u0219it din F W, Ontology<\/strong> a marcat \u00eenc\u0103 o cre\u0219tere hot\u0103r\u00e2t\u0103 cu volum cresc\u0103tor, p\u00e2n\u0103 la maximul all-time al acestei monede.<\/p>\n

\u00cen zona curent\u0103 a pre\u021bului, ONT<\/strong> a stabilit dou\u0103 nivele importante pe un timeframe mult mai mare dec\u00e2t cel analizat: Weekly – unul fiind la 0.001 BTC<\/strong> (pre\u021b care func\u021bioneaz\u0103 \u0219i ca prag psihologic) iar cel\u0103lalt la 0.000878 BTC. Tot \u00een aceast\u0103 zon\u0103 \u00een care ONT<\/strong> se afl\u0103 de 44 de zile, volumele s-au redus semnificativ iar pre\u021bul „a str\u0103puns” pragul superior de rezisten\u021b\u0103 de dou\u0103 ori, form\u00e2nd un posibil „double-top”.<\/p>\n

La ce ne putem a\u0219tepta acum?<\/em><\/p>\n

Cel mai probabil la retestarea nivelelor inferioare de suport – cel de pe weekly \u0219i cel de pe daily, ambele av\u00e2nd un rol important \u00een men\u021binerea pre\u021bului la un prag superior. P\u0103rerea mea este c\u0103 asist\u0103m la o distribu\u021bie \u0219i c\u0103 ONT s-ar putea retrage (\u00een cazul \u00een care suportul nu \u021bine) la fostele nivele de rezisten\u021b\u0103 – respectiv \u00een zona 0.0006 BTC. Desigur, acest lucru nu se va \u00eent\u00e2mpla imediat ci pe parcursul a c\u00e2teva s\u0103pt\u0103m\u00e2ni, deoarece \u00een sfera crypto corec\u021biile sunt mult mai „lini\u0219tite” dec\u00e2t impulsurile.<\/p>\n

Spor & trade safe!
\n-Cristian Bo\u021b, analist tehnic Bitcoin Rom\u00e2nia<\/p>\n

\u00a92018 BitcoinRomania | Declinarea Responsabilit\u0103\u021bii: Acest mesaj este strict cu caracter informativ, nu este o recomandare sau sfat de tranzac\u021bionare pentru nici un instrument financiar \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 sub nici o form\u0103 termenii \u0219i condi\u021bii oficiale sau angajamente \u00een rela\u021bia cu BTR Exchange SRL. Nu exist\u0103 \u0219i nu este oferit\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile prezentate sunt complete sau exacte. Orice opinie exprimat\u0103 este strict p\u0103rerea subiectiv\u0103 a persoanei care a emis acea opinie \u0219i nu reprezint\u0103 punctul de vedere oficial al BitcoinRomania, BTR Exchange SRL. BTR Exchange nu ofer\u0103 nicio garan\u021bie c\u0103 informa\u021biile oferite sunt complete, corecte \u0219i precise, exist\u00e2nd posibilitatea unei erori tehnice sau umane.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jurnalul Crypto – Analiza Zilelor 11-12 iunie – Bitcoin Romania * Bitcoin * Evolu\u021bia Bitcoin pentru zilele precedente (luni \u0219i mar\u021bi – 11, 12 iunie) a \u00eenregistrat o sc\u0103dere de 4.79%, consider\u00e2nd pre\u021bul de deschidere al zilei de luni de la $6757.9 \u0219i cel al \u00eenchiderii de mar\u021bi de la $6543.9, av\u00e2nd maximul la $6899.0 \u0219i minimul la $6436.1 Dup\u0103 ce duminic\u0103 Bitcoin a consolidat timp de peste 16 ore \u00eentr-un canal paralel, format \u00een jurul pre\u021bului pivot de $7265.2,Read More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[677,2,628,671],"tags":[683,597,116,694,113],"class_list":["post-6629","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-analiza-tehnica","category-bitcoin","category-ethereum","category-ripple","tag-analiza-tehnica","tag-bitcoin","tag-ethereum","tag-ontology","tag-ripple"],"yoast_head":"\nJurnalul Crypto - 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