{"id":2246,"date":"2015-03-07T04:44:56","date_gmt":"2015-03-07T04:44:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/?p=2246"},"modified":"2026-03-01T13:46:32","modified_gmt":"2026-03-01T11:46:32","slug":"augur-pariaza-pe-viitorul-stralucit-al-pietei-predictiilor-blockchain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bitcoinromania.ro\/blog\/augur-pariaza-pe-viitorul-stralucit-al-pietei-predictiilor-blockchain\/","title":{"rendered":"Augur pariaz\u0103 pe viitorul str\u0103lucit al pie\u021bei predic\u021biilor Blockchain"},"content":{"rendered":"

„Tu spui c\u0103 pia\u021b\u0103 de predic\u021bie \u0219i oamenii sunt surprinz\u0103tori precum \u00eentrebarea „Ce este asta?” – Nu sun\u0103 at\u00e2t de important, profitabil sau interesant<\/em> „.<\/p>\n

Acesta este Jeremy Gardner, mai bine cunoscut ca director al Colegiului Re\u021belei Cryptocurrency, vorbind despre primele reac\u021bii pe care unii le-ar putea avea la ultimul s\u0103u proiect, Augur, care este o pia\u021b\u0103 de predic\u021bie pe baza unui sistem blockchain descentralizat, fondat de Jack Peterso, \u00a0stabilind lansarea unui jeton crowdsale \u00een aceast\u0103 prim\u0103var\u0103.<\/p>\n

Pe deoparte, percep\u021biile comune ale lui Gardner \u0219i ale dezvoltatorului de baz\u0103 Joey Krug ias\u0103 \u00een fa\u021b\u0103 pentru a dovedi c\u0103 o platform\u0103 care permite participan\u021bilor s\u0103 parieze pe rezultatul evenimentelor din lumea real\u0103 poate fi un bun mecanism social, mai degrab\u0103 dec\u00e2t pur \u0219i simplu o alt\u0103 desfacere pentru jocurile de noroc digitale.<\/p>\n

\u00centr-o conversa\u021bie cu CoinDesk, Gardner \u0219i Krug au c\u0103utat s\u0103 prezinte Augur ca un proiect care inten\u021bioneaz\u0103 s\u0103 foloseasc\u0103 registrele publice descentralizate pentru a crea o cale pentru oricine din orice domeniu, de la finan\u021be, s\u0103n\u0103tate \u0219i guvernare, s\u0103 ating\u0103 puterea prognozei colective a unui utilizator la nivel mondial.<\/p>\n

Gardner a spus:<\/p>\n

„Nu am avut niciodat\u0103 cu adev\u0103rat o pia\u021b\u0103 de predic\u021bie extrem de popular\u0103. N-am avut aceste instrumente open-source pentru a putea paria pe internet\u00a0<\/em>„.<\/p>\n

At\u00e2t Gardner c\u00e2t \u0219i Krug au l\u0103sat colegiu pentru a lansa proiectul format din \u0219ase persoane, una care are sprijin financiar de la Ethereum, creatorul Vitalik Buterin \u0219i \u00eendrum\u0103torul Ron Bernstein, fondator al platformei Intrade, care a fost p\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een momentul de \u00eenchidere din anul 2013 una dintre cele mai bine cunoscute platforme pe pie\u021bele de predic\u021bie.<\/p>\n

Adres\u00e2ndu-se site-ului CoinDesk, Bernstein a spus c\u0103 \u0219i-a exprimat un interes timpuriu \u00een cadrul proiectului a\u0219a cum \u00eel vede prin prisma propriilor lupte \u00een \u00eencercare lans\u0103rii unei platforme similar\u0103, de\u0219i centralizat\u0103.<\/p>\n

CEO-ul Intrade \u0219i Tradesports a comparat provoc\u0103rile cu care se confrunt\u0103 proiectul de gigan\u021bi tech, cum ar fi Uber, care au testat limitele de reglementare pentru a se asigura c\u0103 ei sunt primii pe pia\u021b\u0103 cu o idee care are un poten\u021bial puternic.<\/p>\n

„Poten\u021bialul Augur apar\u021bine, \u00eentr-adev\u0103r, de participarea distribuit\u0103 a operatorilor de schimb, precum \u0219i de la utilizatorii de schimb \u0219i capacitatea de a distribui, \u00een felul \u00een care aceste propuneri nu au mai fost f\u0103cute<\/em>„, a spus Bernstein.<\/p>\n

O istorie tumultoas\u0103<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cen prezent, exist\u0103 obstacole pentru Augur. Unul dintre acestea este reprezentat de faptul c\u0103 trebuie s\u0103 se asigure ca publicul s\u0103 p\u0103trund\u0103 \u00een spatele unei pie\u021be de predic\u021bie, mai ales atunci c\u00e2nd istoria lor stancoas\u0103 a \u00eentunecat percep\u021bia publicului cu privire la ceea ce sunt \u0219i ceea ce urm\u0103resc ca scop.<\/p>\n

Pie\u021bele de predic\u021bie permit utilizatorilor s\u0103 cumpere \u0219i s\u0103 v\u00e2nd\u0103 ac\u021biuni \u00een urma rezultatului unui eveniment. Atunci, pre\u021bul actual de pia\u021b\u0103 al unei ac\u021biuni este o estimare a probabilit\u0103\u021bii realiz\u0103rii unui evenimentul. Deja, mul\u021bi cercet\u0103tori universitari atest\u0103 c\u0103 astfel de platforme, \u00een timp ce \u00eencorporeaz\u0103 aspecte ale jocurilor de noroc, nu au valoare practic\u0103.<\/p>\n

„Pre\u021burile de pe pia\u021ba de predictie au valoare informa\u021bional\u0103, datorit\u0103 agreg\u0103rii credin\u021belor participan\u021bilor la pia\u021b\u0103 \u0219i datorit\u0103 dezv\u0103luirii \u0219anselor previziunilor generale ale pie\u021bei pentru un eveniment la \u00eendem\u00e2n\u0103 care are loc<\/em>\u201d, explic\u0103 un raport din 2014, realizat de Mercatus Research.<\/p>\n

De\u0219i continu\u0103 s\u0103 noteze c\u0103 motivul principal existent pe pia\u021b\u0103 este specula\u021bia, raportul vorbe\u0219te despre beneficiile pozitive pe care platforma le poate avea observ\u00e2nd utilizarea sa \u00een alegerile preziden\u021biale din SUA dat\u00e2nd din 1800.<\/p>\n

Gardner atest\u0103 c\u0103 este un utilizator Intrade \u0219i c\u0103 a f\u0103cut pariuri \u00een timpul alegerilor din 2008 \u0219i 2012. El a explicat recursul serviciului, ad\u0103ug\u00e2nd:<\/p>\n

„Nu a fost vorba de jocuri de noroc, nu a existat niciun risc dac\u0103 a\u021bi crezut c\u0103 a\u021bi fost informa\u021bi despre a\u0219a ceva \u0219i acest lucru, pentru mine, a fost o no\u021biune foarte puternic\u0103<\/em>.”<\/p>\n

G\u0103sirea unei zone gri<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cen 2005, de exemplu, Comisia Commodity Futures Trading (CFTC) i-a acordat companiei Intrade o scutire de a opera, cu condi\u021bia ca aceast\u0103 s\u0103 aib\u0103 participan\u021bi limita\u021bi cu bunuri \u00eentre $ 5m \u0219i 10 milioane de dolari. P\u00e2n\u0103 \u00een 2013, cu procese perseverente \u00een SUA \u0219i problemele \u00een str\u0103in\u0103tate, Intrade se \u00eenchide. Notabil este faptul c\u0103 site-ul Intrade promite \u00een prezent „ve\u0219ti noi\u00a0\u00een cur\u00e2nd<\/em>„.<\/p>\n

Legile suplimentare au fost adoptate ca parte a legii de reform\u0103 financiar\u0103 Dodd-Frank, care a \u00eencercat s\u0103 limiteze pariurile care nu au fost considerate a fi \u00een interesul public. Cu toate acestea, unele pie\u021be de predic\u021bie au fost capabile s\u0103 prospere, \u00een special, pia\u021ba electronic\u0103 Iowa, sub scutiri academice.<\/p>\n

Totu\u0219i, aceste probleme, sus\u021bine Augur, sunt rezolvate prin natura descentralizat\u0103 blockchain \u0219i lipsa general\u0103 de orientare de reglementare.<\/p>\n

„Nu exist\u0103 o lege care s\u0103 ne \u00eempiedice s\u0103 facem ceea ce facem. Noi scriem doar un cod. Nu exist\u0103, de asemenea, o lege care s\u0103 nu ne permit\u0103 s\u0103 facem ceea ce facem. Noi recunoa\u0219tem c\u0103 este o zon\u0103 gri, dar este o zon\u0103 gri unde ne sim\u021bim mult mai confortabil<\/em> ” a declarat Gardner, ad\u0103ug\u00e2nd:<\/p>\n

„Scriem foarte clar acest cod, l-am pus \u00een umbr\u0103 \u0219i ar putea disp\u0103rea precum Satoshi [Nakamoto].<\/em>”<\/p>\n

Sursa: coindesk<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

„Tu spui c\u0103 pia\u021b\u0103 de predic\u021bie \u0219i oamenii sunt surprinz\u0103tori precum \u00eentrebarea „Ce este asta?” – Nu sun\u0103 at\u00e2t de important, profitabil sau interesant „. Acesta este Jeremy Gardner, mai bine cunoscut ca director al Colegiului Re\u021belei Cryptocurrency, vorbind despre primele reac\u021bii pe care unii le-ar putea avea la ultimul s\u0103u proiect, Augur, care este o pia\u021b\u0103 de predic\u021bie pe baza unui sistem blockchain descentralizat, fondat de Jack Peterso, \u00a0stabilind lansarea unui jeton crowdsale \u00een aceast\u0103 prim\u0103var\u0103. Pe deoparte, percep\u021biileRead More<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":2247,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[527,597,254,529,530,528,377],"class_list":["post-2246","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-augur","tag-bitcoin","tag-blockchain","tag-colegiului-retelei-cryptocurrency","tag-jack-peterso","tag-jeremy-gardner","tag-satoshi-nakamoto"],"yoast_head":"\nAugur pariaz\u0103 pe viitorul str\u0103lucit al predic\u021biilor Blockchain<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Augur pariaz\u0103 pe viitorul str\u0103lucit al pie\u021bei predic\u021biilor Blockchain | Bitcoin Romania\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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